posted on Jan, 12 2013 @ 10:18 AM
Originally posted by jhn7537
reply to post by six67seven
I doubt doubt doubt that this happens... I work very close in the commercial space industry and I have to say 2015 is a stretch... I would toss 2-3
years onto that guess... If they do put humans in space, it's strictly based off rushing it out.... There is one competitor who is head and shoulders
above them and takes their time with these endeavors, I will not mention their name out of respect (and the non-competes I've signed) but THEY are the
company to follow... Got Amazon?
It seems to me that SpaceX and Elon Musk are ahead of Jeff Bezos's schedule with his Blue Origin.
SpaceX has already sent a pressurized
capsule to the space station and successfully returned it (while pressurized). Blue Origin has
not yet done so -- pressurized or otherwise. Granted, being human-rated and being simply pressurized are two different things, but showing they can
successfully fly a pressurized capsule was very important.
The logical next step for SpaceX after proving they could launch a pressurized capsule to the ISS and return it safely is to do so again, but do it
while being human-rated. I'm not sure I can see Blue Origin leaping ahead of SpaceX, especially considering NASA sees the demonstration flights to
the ISS as critical steps -- steps taken by SpaceX but not yet taken by Blue origin.
Who knows? -- Blue Origin's CCDev human-rated craft may end up being better than SpaceX's Dragon (or maybe not), but Dragon seems to be on the inside
track to do it first.
EDIT TO ADD:
I suppose Bezos and Blue Origin may soon have a sub-orbital tourism craft, but I'm talking about LEO and sending crews to the ISS, not suborbital.
edit on 1/12/2013 by Soylent Green Is People because: (no reason given)