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Good question. Your bones can perform orbital calculations? But what you really mean is that you just think that the asteroid will impact Earth (contrary to what the refined orbital calculations indicate) and have a far greater effect than the physics of such an impact would indicate
They are constantly recalculated and margins of error are already built into the calculations.
So why are they constantly recalculating?
Because they do not know, the error margin is based on past observations.
The point being thiis is the closest since their theory modelling commenced.
Spot on constantly recalculating ie correcting their errors.
Why take NASA word check for yourself look a lot closer to me Just download this free program of Celestia ver. 1.6.1 at
Originally posted by Phage
Except that the energy would be released high in the atmosphere, not on the surface.
Don't be fooled by its relatively small size(45 to 75 meters)., if it impacts earth , it would cause destruction equivalent to approx 40 Hiroshima Atomic bombs.
The projectile begins to breakup at an altitude of 47100 meters = 154000 ft
The projectile bursts into a cloud of fragments at an altitude of 8540 meters = 28000 ft.
The residual velocity of the projectile fragments after the burst is 3.98 km/s = 2.47 miles/s.
The energy of the airburst is 7.52 x 10^15 Joules = 1.8 x 10^0 MegaTons.
No crater is formed, although large fragments may strike the surface.
Some windows might break, some trees knocked down.
No. It won't. The margin of error in the predicted orbit is very, very small.
Well it may hit , that is what.edit on 1/10/2013 by Phage because: (no reason given)
Originally posted by OrionsWitness
reply to post by Hijinx
So in failing to even understand the English language, you have yourself come off as a pompous ass. Professing your grandeur in alerting the world of a potentially fatal event thousands of scientist assure us all otherwise. \ Text
Again in your own pomposity
You accuse me of sounding off on baseless logic in this discussion.
The scientists know more than I , for sure of course.
But they are the same breed , who told the public , that they could hide under tables , in the event of an Atomic bomb being dropped over their heads.
The same breed of thinkers, who told the world only gay people could catch the HiV virus.
The same paid off Government stooges who advised the governments around the world that asbestos was safe, that theldomide was safe.
The same scientific caring minds that allowed DDT to be used on crops for decades.
The same breed of stinkers....that advised the Americans that Agent orange , was safe to humans.
The same great minds, that say mobile phones do not cause brain tumors.
They say what they say for MONEY.
Yes Iam a pompous ass...but so be it, it does not make the truth.... false.
DA 14 may impact The Earth.
And you will find no scientist on this earth who will 100% say it will not happen.
That is the crux of the OP.
Peace be with you , and may i bless you son,me being high and lofty , I ask thee to be humble.