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Ezekiel 38:1-10 . . . "Now the word of the LORD came to me, saying, ‘Son of man, set your face against Gog (a powerful leader), of the land of Magog (translated 'Scythia' in Greek ... the area of modern day RUSSIA), the prince of Rosh, Meshech, and Tubal, (Meshech and Tubal are in and around TURKEY) and prophesy against him, and say, Thus says the Lord GOD: ‘Behold, I am against you, O Gog (a powerful human or dark-angelic leader behind Russia), the prince of Rosh, Meshech, and Tubal. (Turkey) I will turn you around, put hooks into your jaws (Israel's Leviathan gas fields, mutual defense treaty, or UN effort?) and lead you out, with all your army, horses, and horsemen, all splendidly clothed, a great company with bucklers and shields, all of them handling swords (weapons). (The Russian army will march again) Persia (IRAN), (Iran is listed first, meaning it will be the 'lead' ally) Ethiopia (Sudan ..."Cush"), and Libya (northern Africa) are with them, all of them with shield and helmet. Gomer and all its troops; (Germany-France, eastern Europe, or "Galatia"- Turkey) the house of Togarmah (Armenia) from the far north and all its troops - many people are with you. (NATO member Turkey will join this coalition) Prepare yourself and be ready, you and all your companies that are gathered about you; and be a guard for them. (Russia will act as a "guard" ... and supplier of weapons) After many days you will be visited. (Meaning, this would happen far from Ezekiel's time) In the LATTER YEARS you (Russia-Iran-Turkey) will come into the land of those brought back from the sword (Israel!) and gathered from many people on the mountains of Israel, which had long been desolate (this war will take place after Israel became a nation in 1948) they (the children of Israel) were brought OUT of the nations, and now all of them dwell safely. You will ascend, coming like a storm, (they may attack from the air, or from the south, or both) covering the land (of Israel) like a cloud, you and all your troops and many peoples with you." (Ezekiel 38:1-10)
Biblical prophecy states that Russia, Iran, Turkey, and Allies Will Attack and Invade Israel
Yup it says the the state of Israel will be punished but it also says that it will win in the end.
And regarding if modern Israel is the old Israel or not, it is a matter of opinion. We can never be sure about it.
Prophesy of Genesis 48 and 49. Basically put it states that Israel was supposed to become a multitude of nations by the end times. So could there be Muslim Israelites? Yes. Probably they all are.
On your point about Israel being severely punished that's true. But. According to the Leviticus 26 compact they can never be totally destroyed and killed off. But this is what Zechariah says.
As to your other point. Genesis is a Jewish book.
And argues that Genesis 17 that Sarah was the mother of the child of promise. Also that the covenant wasn't actually committed to until after the birth of Ishmael. Admittedly the Koran holds things differently so that's an argument that God himself may have to answer to after the end times.
Though there is an issue there Muslims need to answer to. If Ishmael was the child of promise then why did God wait like 3000 years before sending Mohammad?
Why all the drama with Israel? From Moses to Jesus they were all Jews and Israelites.