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I've posted on this before, and I don't have time to go over details but I think the way to destabilize and topple the mullah-ocracy in Iran is to start trouble on Iran's western borders with Turkey and Iraq. This trouble will involve the Kurds, who are Christian (Note: They are mostly Sunni Muslim.) and seeking their own independent, oil rich state.
There will undoubtedly be difficulty over this with the Iraqis and the Turks. Kurdish "territory" overlaps all three (Note: Four, including Syria.) countries in question. This region is a geopolitical swiss army knife of multiple uses. There is a lot of scope for measured, cadenced creativity in strategic initiatives in the region. Its a veritable cornucopia of chaos waiting to happen.
Syrian conflict threatens to fracture Iraq
Semi-autonomous Iraqi Kurdistan and the central Iraqi government are on a collision course as the Kurds increasingly side with the Syrian opposition and Baghdad stands by the Assad regime.
On Wednesday, 170 Iranian parliamentarians released a statement in support of Assad, and warned the US and Israel against attacking Syria. The Iranian legislators warned that "any invasion of [Syria] will herald the collapse of the arrogant powers' tyrannical and cruel system," Fars reported.
"If the Islamic Republic decides, we will be ready to sacrifice our lives beside our Syrian brothers against the (front)line of infidels and oppressors," the statement said.
Despite the messages of support from Tehran, Iranian Defense Minister Hossein Dehqan ruled out sending troops or weapons to Syria.
The controversy stems from a report by the unofficial ILNA news agency, which quoted the moderate ex-president as saying "the Syrian people who were the target of a chemical attack by the authorities must now face the threat of foreign intervention."
But the agency quickly deleted from the quote the words "by the authorities," and the foreign ministry denied that Rafsanjani had said such a thing.
But several conservative websites also took the opportunity to attack Rafsanjani.
One of them posted a video of a public meeting at which Rafsanjani is alleged to have made the comment. It was not possible to confirm that the speaker on the video, shot from some distance on a mobile phone, was Rafsanjani but the voice sounds like his.
A government, autonomous of Damascus, has been declared in what the Kurds call Rojavaye in northeast Syria.
This is 10% of Syrian territory, although reports of the birth of an independent Kurdish state are greatly exaggerated.
If the Kurds spoke as one then it is possible Rojavaye would be a big step towards a contiguous greater Kurdistan, taking in parts of Syria, Turkey, Iraq and Iran, with a population of some 35 million people.
However, given the bitter infighting in Kurdish politics, and the forces ranged against the very idea of a Kurdistan, the dream of a state remains just that.
“We are concerned over the reports on efforts to declare an autonomous Kurdish region in Syria,” U.S. State Department spokesperson Jen Psaki said during her daily press briefing on Nov. 13.
“The establishment of an autonomous Kurdish region should include the communities that live in this region, hence be part of a decision,” Psaki said, adding that Washington was committed regarding Syria’s unity.
“Our policy has always been to support Syria’s unity and territorial integrity,” Psaki said.
Saleh Muslim, the co-chair of the Democratic Union Party (PYD), which controls the northern parts of Syria known as Rojava, said that the constituent assembly was established to meet the needs of the Syrian Kurds.
“If preparations are finished there will be elections in three months,” Muslim announced.
The move was also harshly criticized by Turkish Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoğlu, who accused the PYD of not “keeping its promise.”