posted on Dec, 29 2012 @ 08:32 AM
Originally posted by the4thhorseman
What are the odds of this passing?
Almost zero. That her opening proposal includes any kind of grandfathering clause tells me that she knows that she is going to have a very hard time
finding votes. Otherwise, she would have proposed banning possession entirely. In fact, last week, she was agreeing with Andrew Cuomo that
confiscation through a mandatory national buyback should be an option.
This is an attempt to appear more 'reasonable'. The GOP will very likely insist on it being watered down a good deal more, if they don't block it
entirely if/when it reaches the House (and I believe they will).
Factor in Obama handing this over to Biden's commission for a 'study' and I'm doubting that there will be any ban from this. That clearly blunted the
Congressional momentum towards a ban, and I suspect the reason he did it is because some of the Dems, particularly in the House, are worried about
their jobs. Granted, I think Obama very much wants a gun ban, but I also believe that was a very clear signal that he's not so interested in
burning through his limited political capital to really push the issue right now and that he wants the anti-gun contingent in his party to slow down.
Don't get me wrong, they're going to pass something
in the wake of this incident, but I believe it will be more along the lines of a focus on
mental health issues and a tightening of the background check system. They might also try something on magazine limits, which has a better chance
than an AWB ban, but I can't see them banning possession, only new manufacture. There's just far too many of them out there.
edit on 29-12-2012 by vor78 because: (no reason given)