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Originally posted by meremortal
well i am in Ireland and the last 3 winters have been bad , 3 years ago was the worst i have every known, ice and snow -10 c,i was trapped there for 3 weeks i couldn't get home back to the south! scotland, england and wales have had bad winters too. this one is supposed to be bad, they had some ice and snow already in northern ireland and northern england.
my scenario is this?
have we tilted slightly which might also explain the moon anomalies, for example the moon cresent been upside down instead of left or righ cresent?
go easy on me please!
I always wanted to go and live in Canada some day, but perhaps Europe will become the new Canada. Our whole family loves snow, but my girls (all the girls?) will freeze when it's getting colder.
Let’s take a look at some of the weather models as we move into early December and we can see there a lot of other very important features to consider besides a strongly -AO. This next image shows comparison between the operational European model at DAY 9 on the left side and the operational GFS model on the right side. We can see several very important features but the most dominating one happens to be the BERING SEA OMEGA RIDGE . (for those of you that do not know the Bering Sea is the body of war to the separates Alaska and far eastern Siberia). It is this feature which has been persistent now for about two weeks which is the dominating or driving feature across the western hemisphere and not the AO. The placement of the OMEGA RIDGE over the Bering sea means that you have to by definition have a trough in the jet stream over Alaska and Northwest Canada. That trough constitutes a POSITIVE PHASE of the EPO and therefore -PNA pattern ( West coast Trough in the Jet stream).
In order to get this pattern to change the strong OMEGA Ridge in the Jet stream over the Bering sea HAS to move to move.. HAS to. In doing so it will force the EPO to switch from +EPO to -EPO… and that in turn will allow for a strong west coast Ridge ( -PNA to +PNA) which sets up a much colder pattern and allows the trough to form of the eastern U.S.
Originally posted by DragonFire1024
It snowed here in Southern Maine in October 2011. We got about 6 or 8 inches of snow. It didn't snow again, significantly, until March of 2012. This year we had about 4 inches or less at the end of October. So far, we've had no snow since then. A few days ago the temperature got to almost 55F. I woke up 2 days ago, left for work, and my porch door was covered in moths...in December. I also found a Dandelion blooming on the side of the road (I will be taking a picture of it a little later and will post on this thread).
I am pretty freaked out, but I hate snow so technically I am not complaining.