posted on Dec, 8 2012 @ 04:21 PM
Anyone want in on a little secret?
The threat supposedly presented by chemical weapons is blown way out of proportion, and much of this chemical weapons talks is sensationalist BS.
Both US and Russia got rid of or demilitarized the vast majority of their stockpiles in the last few decades. Why? It is not because they were
afraid of how terrible these weapons are. It is because their military and strategic use is not that great and has been over-emphasized. There are
many disadvantages to chemical weapons used in military scenarious. Sure they could kill large amounts of civilians in a localized area. But they
are not all that effective against enemy military forces or against rebels/insurgents scattered over a large area or an entire country.
Chemical weapons are difficult to target, and to contain, given things like wind, precipitation, geography. They can quickly and unexpectedly mix
with other elements and lose some effectiveness. The speed of effectiveness and radius of impact is largely unpredictable. They are expensive to
maintain. Countries like Syria also do not possess effective delivery methods, while countries like US and Russia long ago retired their delivery
methods for these weapons.
They certainly would not help Assad achive military objectives against the rebels, or political objectives for that matter. Nor would they help the
rebels. There is a reason why there has been very limited use of Chemical weapons in conflicts. They have only been used in large quantities in
Iraq-Iran war, and they didn't achive the intended objectives.
It is very unlikely that chemical weapons will be used in Syria. Both sides know that they will not achive anything with them that they can't achive
with conventional weapons. Nor will they save either side in the event that side is losing.
You see, "chemical weapons" sound scary. That is why everyone keeps bringing them up, including the endless parade of delegates and ministers from
NATO. But dig a little deeper, and they don't make much of a difference.