Webbot Prediction - Total Collapse Dec 2012 - June 2013 & Global Coastal Event

Originally posted by HawkeyeNation
I don't know much about the Web bot stuff but how accurate has it been in the past?

edit: just read the wiki link and it seems like it's 50/50

edit on 4-12-2012 by HawkeyeNation because: (no reason given)

It is not even vaguely close to 50/50

reply to post by HawkeyeNation


I find web bot interesting but, I think the issue with it is it has 'spiders' crawling all over the internet from what people are looking up and if a lot of people are looking up one issue (such as the end of the world) then those 'spiders' would reflect that.Therefore it is only as accurate as the people on the web.It has had some hits,but that could be chalked up to terrorists talking back and forth on plans.So I think it has more misses than hits.

reply to post by FlyersFan


Did these webbots ever predicted something that really happened ?

Inasmuch as HalfPastHuman's web bot project has its errors I find it interesting to note that Clif has found that not only he but also the U.S. government AND China has sent spiders out doing the same thing his are doing. He's looked into their code and found what they look for and it's basically the same as his. Apparently there is something to the technology that has some value to intelligence organizations.

As far as accuracy goes it all has to do with the way Clif approaches the information he's garnered with each run. Not knowing what the raw data looks like you have to trust him to make the best interpretation that he can. Given his apocalyptical bent I think he does tend to the more dire details but also he's said, in the early stages of this type of bot run where you can get his reports for $10, unless the emotional weighting of the words picked up are high enough, one way or the other, they won't show up in the bot returns.

I've found that a good shot of Crown Royal prior to reading helps in the interpretation of the report. It loosens the mind up for a better "free association" of the items produced. At any rate Clif's reports are much better than trying to figure out a Nostradamus quattrain.

reply to post by FlyersFan


Wait a minute, the WebBot is run by Clif High not Gerald Celente. You might want to fix that. Or maybe it's just your links...Although both Celente and High have pretty similar track records so maybe it fits.

Anyway, here's the latest audio interview with Clif High. I don't really buy into his theories but he is a great conversationalist and I love to listen to him being interviewed. He always has something interesting to say.

Clif High with Nemo DeNova, 12/1/2012

I noticed you put my same link in your OP, sorry but I'm leaving it. took too much work to get it there lol.

As a result of the global coastal event (cause unknown), there will be major Diaspora (voluntary migrations) as whole cities will be destroyed and survivors will decide to migrate to other cities. The West coast of the United States will be particularly hard hit. Out of the chaos that ensues a hero will arise, around July of 2013. He will be an older, now retired and somewhat wealthy, Asian wrestler.He is described in the data as being of broad statue, old, gnarled, but very strong. He will be a leader. He is further described as “taming the rowdy” with “gentleness.” He then organizes the thousands [of survivors] by way of few words to build bridges of rubble, to rescue injured, and evacuate from the danger.

______beforeitsnews/prophecy/2012/11/web-bot-project -2013-2442856.html

this web bot look anything look the big computer from Hitchhikers Guide to the galaxy?

reply to post by FlyersFan

*Note I'm not an expert on this. I have no dog in this fight. Just trying to pass on what I know.

You might want to make a few corrections to your post.
To my knowledge the website geraldcelentechannel.blogspot.ca...
isn't run by Gerald Celente at all and is just a fan blog.
The video in the first link is just a clip from the Nemo DeNova interview with Cliff High with on 12/1/2012.

As far as how the web bots work they basically go out an filter through public conversations on the internet.
That can be in all forums such as bread baking, car repair forums etc.
Note this is not what people are searching for or movies or tv shows that people are talking about,
The idea is that everyone is psychic to some degree and we leak out information in keywords through our language.

The information is then bought back and analysed and assigned values.
As a general rule the project does seem to pick up on key events but the degree of severity is usually way overstated.

A very old example would be if the web bot had searched through all the newspapers during the Cuban missile crisis they would have predicted a nuclear war. While everything was leaning towards that at the time that's not what happened.

Originally posted by FlyersFan

- A new benign form of capitalism will emerge during 2017–2020 lead by a charismatic young university student

Mark Zuckerberg anyone?

Originally posted by Just Chris

Originally posted by FlyersFan
- A new benign form of capitalism will emerge during 2017–2020 lead by a charismatic young university student

Mark Zuckerberg anyone?

Mark Zuckerberg isn't in college anymore and he's definately not young now.
Someone in college in 2017-2020 time frame would make that person like 12 years old right now.

My .2 cents.

Both the CDC and Google use similar trending to predict where flu and disease outbreaks will occur to better understand that nature of viruses, whereto allocate medicine, and to enact predictive measures.

Other companies use predictive analytics from Twitter to understand the happiness or sadness of certain areas based on a mass cull of keywords. Conceivably, governments could then use that data to shape society as it please and measure their results through the same programs.

Mash-up programs of stock data, weather prediction systems, bird migration patterns, others, have been found to be above 50% successful in predictions but they don't last long - as in you can't lock in a program, set its parameters and leave it alone - it must be organic and change as the sun rises and sets.

I guess my point is data scientists consider this one of the golden eggs of science (profiteers want it badly too) and are always tweaking models to get better results - Webbot could be getting better with the "right" data set.

Edit: The algorithms and modeling programs used by investment banks are very powerful and expensive systems, but talk to any analyst and there's still nothing better the getting a heads up about something - software just isn't there yet on a consistent basis, but it's getting better.

reply to post by Rockerchic4God


If you do your homework you'll realize all those things happened - just at different places and slightly different times. The program needs tweaking, a newer data set on location awareness.

Originally posted by Jason88
reply to post by Rockerchic4God

 

If you do your homework you'll realize all those things happened - just at different places and slightly different times. The program needs tweaking, a newer data set on location awareness.

Oh dear.

You are truly drinking the kool aid.

reply to post by longlostbrother


Meh. There's some truth to these models and lot rides on how the data is interpreted. A doom porn lover would read the model and come to the conclusion that a "massive flood" will drown the continents. A more level-headed scientist made look at the data and read it as a "rising water event" occurring between Y & Z locations likely happening between such & such dates.

No one in the right mind plays absolutes with this data. So no kool aid here, just had to learn about this stuff half a decade ago.

And again - look at what Webbot said, now apply a more reasonable mind to it - I see correlations to actual events but none that are sensationalistic.

ETA: I'm happy to be wrong since I've haven't needed to know this stuff in many years.

Originally posted by Jason88
reply to post by longlostbrother

 

Meh. There's some truth to these models and lot rides on how the data is interpreted. A doom porn lover would read the model and come to the conclusion that a "massive flood" will drown the continents. A more level-headed scientist made look at the data and read it as a "rising water event" occurring between Y & Z locations likely happening between such & such dates.

No one in the right mind plays absolutes with this data. So no kool aid here, just had to learn about this stuff half a decade ago.

And again - look at what Webbot said, now apply a more reasonable mind to it - I see correlations to actual events but none that are sensationalistic.

edit on 5-12-2012 by Jason88 because: (no reason given)

There's no real truth to these models, in that nothing can truly be predicted.

Looking for hits by loosening the parameters of what constitutes a hit is just a way to justify a failed prediction.

I can predict there will be an earthquake in Turkey tomorrow - if I claimed I was right, because there was an earthquake in Spain, five days later, I'd be seen as delusional and a liar.

And rightly so.

The moral of the story is the prediction business is a lousy business.

Yet, enterprises pour millions into trying to make it work.

What does work is trend tracking - that's proven in real time but can't tell you what tomorrow will bring.

Edit: Had to think on this one. In fact if you could predict an earthquake consistently within a set group of parameters (not post changing to fit the pattern) then you'd be rich.

This does make for interesting reading but should also be taken with a pinch of salt because webbot has made a lot of outrageous predictions that haven't ever come true.

Originally posted by Jason88
The moral of the story is the prediction business is a lousy business.

Yet, enterprises pour millions into trying to make it work.

What does work is trend tracking - that's proven in real time but can't tell you what tomorrow will bring.

Edit: Had to think on this one. In fact if you could predict an earthquake consistently within a set group of parameters (not post changing to fit the pattern) then you'd be rich.

edit on 5-12-2012 by Jason88 because: (no reason given)

If you could predict the future you'd be the richest guy on the planet...

reply to post by littled16


The webbot track record is nowhere near 50%.

Clif High has been continually predicting massive and implausible doom over and over for a number of years now and has even admitted making this stuff up as part of a social experiment.

reply to post by DelMarvel


I believe what you are saying could be possible, but would you mind linking a source for that information? I would be interested in watching/ reading it. When you have time, of course.