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Moore's law is the observation that over the history of computing hardware, the number of transistors on integrated circuits doubles approximately every two years. The period often quoted as "18 months" is due to Intel executive David House, who predicted that period for a doubling in chip performance (being a combination of the effect of more transistors and their being faster).[1]
Originally posted by humphreysjim
The two responders are missing the OP's point, I think. His point is that we have the tech now, basically, and 20-30 years is a lie for something we can already do.
Personally, I don't know if we have the tech or not yet, but I'd imagine 20-30 years is a very pessimistic estimate either way. I'd imagine in 30 years time we'd be doing way cooler stuff than that.edit on 30-11-2012 by humphreysjim because: (no reason given)
Originally posted by SpearMint
Originally posted by humphreysjim
The two responders are missing the OP's point, I think. His point is that we have the tech now, basically, and 20-30 years is a lie for something we can already do.
Personally, I don't know if we have the tech or not yet, but I'd imagine 20-30 years is a very pessimistic estimate either way. I'd imagine in 30 years time we'd be doing way cooler stuff than that.edit on 30-11-2012 by humphreysjim because: (no reason given)
We don't have the tech now though, no way.