This series will be keeping track particularly of earthquakes and volcanoes to see if a trend can be detected as we roll on towards our final end, or 22nd December 2012. A sort of rolling analysis if you like.

I have picked the 1st September as the starting date for the earthquake trends as that should give a long enough time to actually see a trend.

As far as volcanoes go I have a list of currently erupting, but the Smithsonian site is erroring so I can't get back to some of the past reports to create numbers. I will try that again tomorrow.

Today's data runs up to 22nd November. Tomorrows will be to the 23rd. I shall update earlier tomorrow, I just got a bit busy today.

EARTHQUAKES (Mag 4.5+ Global USGS)


The trend overall is upwards but only very slight.

Mag 4-4.9 only


The trend is up and the best fit trend is up.

Mag 5-5.9 only


The linear trend is flat or perhaps very slightly up. The best fit polynomial trend is down

Mag 6-6.9 only


Linear trend is up. Best fit polynomial is down.

Mag 7-7.9


Trend is down. Poly trend is not really relevant.

Volcanoes

As far as I can ascertain these are the volcanoes that are currently erupting.

Ambrym (Vanuatu )
Batu Tara (Sunda Islands, Indonesia)
Erebus (Antarctica)
Erta Ale (Ethiopia)
Etna (Sicily, Italy)
Fuego (Guatemala)
Gamalama (Halmahera, Indonesia)
Kilauea (Hawai'i)
Kizimen (Eastern Kamchatka (Russia))
Nyiragongo (DRCongo)
Ol Doinyo Lengai (Tanzania)
Poas (Costa Rica)
Raung (East Java, Indonesia)
Reventador (Ecuador)
Sakurajima (Kyushu, Japan)
Santa María / Santiaguito (Guatemala)
Santiago (Galápagos Islands, Ecuador)
Semeru (East Java, Indonesia)
Shiveluch (Kamchatka)
Stromboli (Eolian Islands, Italy)
Tongariro (North Island, New Zealand)
Ulawun (New Britain, Papua New Guinea)
Yasur (Tanna Island, Vanuatu)

23 in total, but bear in mind that 16 are considered to be always erupting.

If anyone has a reliable source of current and historical tropical storms counts please let me know and I will track those as well.

Reports of more than 4 horsemen will be ignored unless accompanied by documentary and visual evidence, and their names and addresses.

Is there a site that documents current and historical UFO activity?

Any other events we should track??

PS just in case anyone is doubting my sanity, no I do not believe anything is going to happen out of the ordinary.

Originally posted by PuterMan
PS just in case anyone is doubting my sanity, no I do not believe anything is going to happen out of the ordinary.

So what is the need of this thread? To prove a point that its all just normal occurrences?

I hope you have started a thread which can be referenced on other threads, the ones which pop up about earthquakes and the sign of the end of times, all the threads associated with 2012 doomsday. I hope this data can show that these occurrences are actually just normal - The believers are just paying attention to it more because of the anticipation of what they have read will happen.

Star & Flag for what I think you're trying to do
I'll be keeping an eye on this thread, although i'm not quite sure what the point is at this moment.

PS just in case anyone is doubting my sanity, no I do not believe anything is going to happen out of the ordinary.

Your last words ruined the thread.

Thanks. I've been wondering how many volcanoes are erupting right now.

Is there more now than 10 years ago, 100 years ago?
Are we abnormally high or is this normal.

Hey PM,

Glad you started this thread as many of us are confused about the trends. Whether the eq's and volcanoes are increasing or not... you are the man who truly knows.

Also, many of us are like you whereas we do not believe anything out of the ordinary will takes place on any particular date, however can't dismiss it either.

You are open minded to the facts and if anything were to jump up in trends we know we can count on you to keep it real!!

Let's dance!

You know. there was a thread a few months back like this one and it too was making a big case of Earthquake activity and how it's all higher and it's just a new thing no one ever saw before. Well... I (rightfully) tore that one up because at the time? It was doom porn fantasy land fear mongering. Now?



someone is welcome to explain that chart, it's numbers and how it SHOULD relate to an average year like this one. It doesn't....and what seemed fear mongering a few months ago (it was then, I stand fast on) is just being observant and watching events today.

Interesting times we live in, indeed....and sure to get more interesting as this very UNusual year comes to a close.

*********************************************************************************
No More Work.

No More Nagging Girlfriend.

No More Student Loans.

No More Mortgage.

===================================================

No More Sex.

No More Video Games.

No More Disc Golf.

No More Conspiracy Research.

***********************************************************************************

Even Trade IMO. So I have no feeling one way or another...

Originally posted by Trueman

PS just in case anyone is doubting my sanity, no I do not believe anything is going to happen out of the ordinary.

Your last words ruined the thread.

Yeah, I was so happy thinking NO MORE FREAKIN' HOLIDAY SEASONS. YAY!

Ya S & F

This should get intrested will be here watching.

well i have been waiting for this date since the 80's. i have said in a previous thread that i remember first hearing of this in my teen years and thinking my god i will be in my 40's and married with kids...well here i am.

i have watched a lot of doco's etc regarding this date and i am divided as too what i think will happen. lately though i have been more leaning towards the thoughts that this will be something astrological. but then again it may be the start of a new "phase". damn it i dont really know.

all i can say for sure and certain is that if nothing happens on this day i will never believe another prediction..prophecy...vision...whatever again.

and by the way....the husbands theory on this date is as follows:

5000 years ago the spacemen came to invade the world. when they got here they realised they left their space gun at home and needed to go back and get it. so they told they mayans mark it on your calander ..we will be back

this theory was concluded after numerous beers and too the amusement of two teenage sons who were rolling on the floor laughing and encouraging such stupidity......

so, did i marry well.....you be the judge of that....