Got this of a website:
Current Estimated SARS Mortality Rates:
- Patients over 60, the SARS death rate is 20%.
- Patients in Canada, SARS death rate is 13.6%
- Patients in Hong Kong, Beijing, and Singapore, SARS death rate rose from 4% to 10%.
Global average SARS death rate is 7%.
- Patients in the United States, so far death rate is 0%.
Influenza Mortality Rate:
- In general, worldwide influenza death rates are around 2%.
Mark Jackwood, Ph.D., Professor of Avian Medicine, College of Veterinary Medicine, University of Georgia, Athens, Georgia:
Could SARS Become A Pandemic?
COULD THE OUT-OF-CONTROL SITUATION IN CHINA LEAD TO AN EXPLOSION BEYOND THE BORDER INTO ASIA AND EVENTUALLY GO INTO THE PANDEMIC STATE THAT EVERY ONE
HAS WORRIED ABOUT AND TRIED TO PREVENT?
I think that's possible, but I've never traveled to China. I don't know the situation at the border, what kind of control that they have. It's a
huge country and it's easy to believe that it could get out of hand quite easily with a virus that is this infectious. quite frankly, I think that's
what everybody at W.H.O. and CDC are very scared about and China's ability to handle this. Apparently, from the news reports I've been reading, this
is putting an extreme economic burden on that country.
IT'S COLLAPSED. BEIJING STREETS ARE EMPTY AND TODAY, THE OTHER NEWS IS THAT THEY HAVE RUN OUT OF BEDS. THEY DON'T HAVE THE HOSPITAL SUPPORT SYSTEM.
THIS IS THE PUBLIC HEALTH NIGHTMARE.
It really is, isn't it?! The only thing I can tell you is how we try to combat and control this disease and the best way is to get a rapid diagnostic
test, which I think we have worked out now. But that needs to be made available in the areas where the outbreaks are occurring. We need to monitor not
just the sick people, but the healthy ones as well and find out where this virus is. Then quarantine and isolation system that we already have been
attempting to put in place needs to be used religiously where that virus is detected. And that's not just in China. That's all over the world.
INCLUDING THE UNITED STATES.
Oh, yes, ma'am, including the United States. But the hinge in controlling this disease in my mind is the diagnostic test to have that be extremely
rapid and do it on across the board test everyone you can get your hands on in an area where you suspect the virus is.
W.H.O. HAS BEEN TRYING TO DO THAT IN CHINA, BUT UNTIL LAST WEEK, THE GOVERNMENT WAS STILL HIDING SARS PATIENTS.
Well, that's the political issues I think I'm talking about. And just the logistics of going into a country like that with that many people and that
widespread of an area and now you are saying people out in the country are having outbreaks. Boy! Can you imagine the logistical nightmare that would
be to do what we've just talked about. Incredible!
Small part of article.
March 17 to May 1, 2003 increase in SARS cases.
Source: The New England Journal of Medicine.
Were in for a lot of trouble
Go to www.earthfiles.com...
for more info
[Edited on 5/2/2003 by FoxStriker]
[Edited on 5/4/2003 by FoxStriker]