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Originally posted by hotel1
I make this prediction now not by any pre-cognitive abilities, but purely on experience. Once a country has its tanks closed up on the border with its neighbours it is already to late. As I write this Israels tanks are sitting, waiting to roll in to Gaza in response to repeated rocket attacks by Hamas despite the fact that most moderates on both sides would rather this did not happen.
Do I believe this is the harbinger of World War Three ? probably not. Do I think this could be the spark that touches off a wider conflict in the Middle East? possibly.
President Obama is in position to broker a peace deal in this situation if he is willing, and prepared to grasp the nettle, and in the process raise his international standing considerably but he will be opening himself up to a great deal of risk because if his efforts fail he will look ineffectual on the international stage.
So ask yourself this question; In Mr Obama's position would you attempt to broker a deal?. I stand by the title of this post for the reasons I mentioned,