posted on Nov, 6 2012 @ 03:15 AM
I didn't do up a map, but my prediction is that the popular vote will be in the 55/45 range, favoring Romney. As well, the electoral vote will see
Romney with about 280, give or take.
My reasons? I like what Karl Rove had to say (regardless of my opinions of him). But, rather, it was something I heard Dick Morris say a couple
For an incumbent to be this close in a re-election campaign is a really bad sign. Dems are going to vote Obama. Republicans are going to vote
Romney. That's just how it is. However, it is the independent and undecided voters who will decide this election. Morris states, and I agree with
him, that for a voter to be undecided at this stage usually means a vote for the challenger. Why? Simply put, the undecided is pondering whether or
not the last four years have been up to the standards they have set for a president. If, at this point, they are still undecided on whether or not
the current POTUS has done his job well, they will end up pulling the lever for the challenger when the time comes. They won't be able to convince
themselves, at that final moment, that their doubts about the current administration are unfounded.
Oh, and to add to this:
Colorado Computer Model Predicts Romney
A presidential election prediction model developed by two University of Colorado professors points to a big win for GOP presidential contender
Mitt Romney in November.
The model, the only of its kind to use more than one state-level economic indicator, has correctly predicted the winner of every presidential election
It predicts Romney winning the electoral college by a 320-218 margin and winning 52.9 percent of the popular vote when only the two major parties’
candidates are considered, the Associated Press reported Thursday.
Romney, it concluded, will win every state currently considered by pollsters to be a swing state, including Ohio, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Florida,
Virginia, Colorado, New Hampshire and North Carolina.
Just some food for thought.
edit on 11/6/2012 by Koros because: (no reason given)