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...the latest CBS/New York Times poll shows that Barack Obama is leading there by 50% to 45%. Maybe it’s time for the Democrats to break out the champagne...(but)...The pollster — Quinnipiac University’s Polling Institute — didn’t publicize the raw results that they got when they actually called people in Ohio. They tweaked them first. And by tweaked them, I mean they pumped up the Democratic sample by 8%
...buried in that same poll is the finding that Republicans are actually 14% more enthusiastic about voting than Democrats are. And the poll also shows that Romney has a 6% advantage with independents — those voters who are not registered with either party, and are thus more likely to be persuadable
...as of last Tuesday, 530,813 Ohio Democrats had voted in advance polls. That’s down 181,275 from the Obama wave four years ago. And 448,357 Ohio Republicans had voted early. That’s up 75,858 from the last presidential election.
Together that’s a 257,000 vote swing towards the Republicans just in the advance polls. Which is shocking when you realize that Obama only won Ohio by 262,000 votes last time.
Originally posted by DarkKnight76
Sorry, your wrong. Visit realclearpolitics.com, unfortunately, you'll probably say that's biased, too, because they are predicting an Obama win.
The “Ohio firewall” precariously stands for President Barack Obama, but a strong Republican turnout could enable Mitt Romney to tear it down on Election Day. The final Dispatch Poll shows Obama leading 50 percent to 48 percent in the Buckeye State. However, that 2-point edge is within the survey’s margin of sampling error, plus or minus 2.2 percentage points.
Originally posted by darkhorserider
reply to post by mobiusmale
Vegas says otherwise, and I consider them to be the experts.
The polls are useless, because the only people taking polls, are people that still have landlines, and are willing to answer their phone and talk politics to a stranger. Plus, the questions are always slanted one way or another; there is no such thing as a neutral poll.
Ohio: 3/10 Dem | 12/5 Rep
Originally posted by darkhorserider
reply to post by mobiusmale
$16 million riding on election outcome.
Ohio: 3/10 Dem | 12/5 Rep
edit on 4-11-2012 by darkhorserider because: (no reason given)
Originally posted by mobiusmale
To be clear, it is the author of the linked article believes that the numbers were improperly "tweaked". I am not an expert on statistics or polling methods.
The poll "results", though, do seem to be at odds with what is actually taking place at the advance polls in Ohio and elsewhere...