Oct 18, 2012 First Time Romney Takes the Lead in the Electoral College Poll

Battle for White House

www.realclearpolitics.com...

It is close!

Funny the left pole says Obama is ahead... The right pole says Romney........


It matters not who is ahead in the poles. Have you people not heard of the Electorial College? The presidential vote is not in the hands of the people. It is in the hands of the very corrupt arseholes at the top. Hence we won't know who they really want until the last minute. Don't forget to vote for your favorite though as it will make you feel better about yourself.........

Originally posted by Mamatus
Funny the left pole says Obama is ahead... The right pole says Romney........


Have you people not heard of the Electorial College? .........

Did you not read the title of this thread.....

Oct 18, 2012 First Time Romney Takes the Lead in the Electoral College Poll

Des

reply to post by sad_eyed_lady


OH, WI, PA, NH and MI got moved into the "toss up" category where previously they were "leans Obama"

The polls in those states are based on a 7 day rolling average. Thus, It's a snap shot of post debate #1, not accounting for post debate #2 for a few more days now.

In short, the map represents a few days ago vs. now. Even then go to your link and click "No toss up map" which will take those same "toss-up" swing states and assign red or blue according to the most recent data...
294 Obama to 244...Romney

Right now Intra-Trade and other predictors taking into account the electoral landscape have Obama at a 65% chance of winning and Romney at 35%.

Romney is the closest he's been, but I wouldn't confuse it for a lead.

reply to post by sad_eyed_lady


Here is another version of where the states stand on this election; it is a bit different.

Link: electoralmap.net...

This is the momentum needed by Romney proof he won the debates and is making potus look bad.

America 4 more years of obama will be disastrous. Its not about left vs. right its about the survival of this country.

Great news right now i dont see the momentum slowing and i do see romney going all the way.

reply to post by caladonea


Nate Silvers runs the best polling math. He is the rainman of Polls.
fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com...

Originally posted by caladonea
reply to post by sad_eyed_lady

 

Here is another version of where the states stand on this election; it is a bit different.

Link: electoralmap.net...

Thats one map not based in reality but $$ real clear politics takes all the true majore maps and polls and averages them.. giving us the best guesse
funny when obama starts to loose people cry foul.
www.realclearpolitics.com...

Polling Data
Romney (R) 47.7 Obama (D) 46.7

Spread

RCP Average 10/7 - 10/17 -- -- Romney +1.0


Notice this includes last debate.

Originally posted by caladonea
reply to post by sad_eyed_lady

 

Here is another version of where the states stand on this election; it is a bit different.

Link: electoralmap.net...

It's a map based on wagers...bets...placed on who they think will win...

Updated October 18, 2012

The map below is based on data from the Intrade prediction market, where individuals place wagers on the outcome of the 2012 Presidential election in each state.

Not exactly a true representation of the Electoral vote...

Des

reply to post by Destinyone


Yes I know....thus (it is a bit different) statement.

As with all elections (time will certainly tell); many psychics say it is going to be a very close race; but President Obama will win.

reply to post by Indigo5


This would be bizarre:

Presidential Race: Electoral College Outcome Could Be 269-269
Race Would Be Decided By House of Representatives
Read more at www.christianpost.com...

The only polls i like are with exotic dancers on them

kidding,

but these polls are just a farce to me. The just act as a means to sway public opinion, i find the accuracy of these polls way off.

Stop the drum beating and lets see what the actual results of the election are.

Originally posted by caladonea
reply to post by Destinyone

 

Yes I know....thus (it is a bit different) statement.

As with all elections (time will certainly tell); many physics say it is going to be a very close race; but President Obama will win.

So, you are saying physics, as in science, have a dog in this race......I'm lost. If you meant psychics...are they basing their predictions on a betting map...now, I'm even more confused....

Des

reply to post by Destinyone


Ya I spelled a word wrong...big deal.

And no I am not saying that website is based on psychic predictions; but many psychics (independent of that website) have predicted that President Obama will win..

reply to post by caladonea




What psychics are these i would like to know.


When i find out who they are i will be sure to stay away and warn others of these fakes.

MS.CLEO is it

Originally posted by sad_eyed_lady
reply to post by Indigo5

 

This would be bizarre:

Presidential Race: Electoral College Outcome Could Be 269-269
Race Would Be Decided By House of Representatives
Read more at www.christianpost.com...

Right now Nate Silvers predicts the chance of an electoral tie to be .8 percent...but it has fluxuated up to 2% in recent months.

It would be moer than bizzare...it would be the Nuclear Option...it would make the 2004 recount look like a spat over a parking space....it would be just slightly less than a literal civil war. Frightened to say, despite there being a one percent chance of it happening, i was tinkering with the toss-up states the other day, clicking on various possibilities and was shocked to see myself come up with a tie. Fingers crossed it doesn't happen.

In truth...many delegates are not bound to vote the way their state did, so it's possible in case of a tie, one or many delegates would change thier vote to avoid it going to Congress.