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Originally posted by Cuervo
Originally posted by buster2010
All three of your sources uses the same poll. Here's another showing electoral votes.
2012 Electoral Map: Poll Version
Obama leads 217 to 191 with 130 toss up.
But that's one of the many that shows Obama winning so that's obviously no good.
In 2008, Barack Obama won independents nationally, 52%-44%, on his way to a general election win. According to TPM's Polltracker average of polls, Mitt Romney currently leads Obama among independents by 14%, nationally. That's a 22% reversal nation-wide for Obama. So with a few weeks to go, it's looking more and more like the president will lose independents in a big way, nationally. But what about in the swing states where the election will be decided? The news is a little better for Obama, but he's still falling short with independents in nearly every swing state, including Florida, Colorado, Virginia, and yes, Ohio. I've included Obama's 2008 numbers with independents in each state, along with averages from the most recent polls of those states. To make both partisans happy, I didn't use conservative Rasmussen or liberal PPP polls. That's unfortunate, because they're some of the most prolific state-by-state pollsters, but excluding both will hopefully make both sides happy. Below, I've listed polls showing where the race is with indies, currently (based on polls where pollsters have made partisan breakdowns available).
OVERALL: As you can see, Romney is doing better with independents in nearly every swing states; whereas, Obama won indies in every swing state in 2008.