Will Turkey attempt to increase it's influence and become a dominant regional power?
Only a century ago, vast lands were under the territory of the Ottoman Empire. Administrated from Istanbul, Ottoman lands stretched to Damascus,
Jerusalem, Baghdad, and Mecca. The empire was one of the most prolific powers of all time, lasting from 1300 until the aftermath of World War
One.Ottoman Empire Wiki
This thread is not primarily about Ottoman history, but about lingering imperialistic ambitions that may linger in Turkey. It is easy to imagine a 60
year old Turkish aristocrat listen to stories of the glory Ottoman years from his grandfather and wish to one day replicate his homelands prior
This isn't pure speculations, there are some whispers:
Speaking on the House floor Friday afternoon, Rep. Louie Gohmert (R-TX) claimed President Obama’s foreign policy in the Middle East was “a
massive beginning of a new Ottoman Empire that [he] can take great credit
The official television station TRT has recently started to refer to Turkey as a "global power." These days, the book du jour in Turkish power
circles is Stratfor founder George Friedman's The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century. It predicts the rise of a hegemonic Turkish empire
in the former lands of the Ottoman
Syrian President Bashar al-Assad has lashed out at Turkey for supporting the insurgents fighting against his government, saying his ambitious
neighbor is dreaming of “a new Ottoman
What if this were true?
The time seems ripe for Turkey to make a play if it were ever going to. And is it possible that the perception that Turkey is fairly moderate may
garner some support from Western countries?
With such a blessing, Turkey may campaign to once again make Istanbul the capital of an expanded Arabian power.
Iran is hurting from sanctions, Libya and Egypt have new, untested regimes. Iraq is recovering from war.
There may be opportunity for Turkey to step in for a power grab. The scarier thought is if Saudi Arabian and gulf state monarchies were on board for a
unified Islamic world, the rest of the region would be at mercy to this alliance.
I wonder what the fate of Jerusalem would be in this case?
With the precedent of American foreign policy historically tolerating less than ideal Middle Eastern regimes when economically suitable, it would be
easy to see a scenario where the West assisted in establishing a new regime in the region. The American economy grew alongside Chinese expansion,
major growth in one area can stimulate the world economy. A unified Arabia could potentially be an economic powerhouse similar to China.
And, if the new regime were friendly with the West we would also have an alliance that trumps any threat that China might bring in coming decades as
Enemies becoming friends as a stronger enemy shows up.
Yet there’s another relationship critical to the entire US policy in the Middle East and the direction of the Islamic world: Turkey.
Turkey is a successful example of a non-Arab land where Islam and democracy coexist and the economy
There already exists a foundation of relatively high trust between the West and Turkey, especially when compared to more fundamentalist regimes. Maybe
it is time to use the fundamentalist's ideology against them. Bin Laden spoke of a new caliphate, some say it is bound to happen. Maybe the decision
will be to have Turkey initiate and lead the movement so at least it is a more friendly caliphate. Ottoman Islam is considered by many to be moderate
and could certainly be so in 21st century context.
Just a few facts about Turkey- population is about 75 mil, GDP is 1.073 tril(#1 in Middle East), GDP per capita is 14,517.
But this would not be as much a Turkish nationalist movement, as I see it playing out (if it does, this is still speculation.) It would certainly have
those elements within Turkey, but there would also be the layer of establishing the caliphate that resonates in other countries throughout the
Oh yeah forgot there is a bit of related current events:
Abdulla Gul, President of Turkey
Husnu Ozygein, Richest man in Turkey, banking
(Reuters) - Turkish President Abdullah Gul said on Monday the "worst-case scenarios" were now playing out in Syria and Turkey would do everything
necessary to protect itself, as its army fired back for a sixth day after a shell from Syria flew over the border.
edit on 10/9/2012 by PatrickGarrow17 because: (no reason given)