posted on Oct, 9 2012 @ 01:15 PM
This thread was meant as a bit of education concerning what they look at when trying to determine the weather pattern for a season.
As in all predictive threads, there is an element of uncertainty, but the weather out here where I live is very different this fall so far then it was
last fall, and I had heard that we were in a weak El Nino pattern. The behavior of our weather has been consistent with that information.
The purpose of predictive weather is to give people a head's up as to potentially problematic weather conditions. It never hurts to be prepared, and
if nothing bad happens, well, at least you bought extra food and water while it was cheaper, because the prices will go up. Oh, not until after the
election, of course, but I guarantee the prices will be shocking.
I also did this thread to educate myself as to the various elements that come together to make winter what it is. I do enjoy the snow out here, as
I'm retired and don't have to go out in it if I don't want to.
Ice storms? Those are the worst, most hazardous types of storms. Either give me snow, or rain. Not that middle-of-the road, break all the power
cables and tree branches, ice that sticks all over everything.
It seems to me that the main driver of weather along the southern tier of the United States is the El Nino or La Nina Pacific pattern, combined with
the negative Arctic Oscillation, which will allow the freezing air to dip south. The Atlantic ocean temperature seem to affect the upper midwest and
Sorry for the delay in coming back on this thread, I was waiting for the launch of the famous skydiving daredevil, Felix Baumgartner, to take off from
Roswell, New Mexico, and fly up to the edge of space, then free-fall dive back down to earth. I should be able to see the huge balloon from where I
live, but the launch was cancelled due to windy conditions. Seems to me they should have done it in the summertime, it is always windy here in the
fall, and that's not a prediction, it's a fact.
Anyway....a weak El Nino isn't as interesting as a strong one, however it should help to alleviate some of the drought conditions which have been
plaguing much of the US in the past few years.