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But some observers say that in the event of a crisis — such as an Israeli attack on Iran — maintaining an aircraft carrier off the shores of Iran in the confined and crowded Gulf could make matters worse.
“Putting vulnerable carriers in the Persian Gulf is not a good idea, as it would facilitate crisis instability, not crisis stability,” said John Mearsheimer of the University of Chicago. “They are just too vulnerable, and thus having them in the Persian Gulf would create powerful incentives for us to strike quickly at the Iranian military assets that threaten those carriers.”
I'm surprised no one else picked up on this
Originally posted by this_is_who_we_are
reply to post by Wonderer2012
Were there not threads concerning the Enterprise being deployed to the gulf this past Spring? Like this one:
USS Enterprise Nears Persian Gulf
www.abovetopsecret.com...
by zanysami
started on 3/20/2012 @ 03:59 AM
I agree it is something we should keep an eye on, and I didn't watch the videos in you OP yet so perhaps my question "What new info do you have" is uninformed. But:
What new info do you have.
S+F for effort.
Originally posted by Zaphod58
It's not "heading back into harms way again", it never left the region. It's not due to be replaced until next week or so. As for the conspiracy, she'll sail home in a couple weeks, and be inactivated on December 1st as planned.
Originally posted by Wonderer2012
It was deployed in spring and made a safe transit.
Originally posted by this_is_who_we_are
reply to post by Wonderer2012
That's the new info I was wondering about. I think the theory goes something like: "She's being decommissioned anyway, so what better target for a false flag strike to give the U.S./Israel a "reason" to do X"
X being hit Iran I assume. And yes. I like this theory. Let's see what happens.
edit on 9/23/2012 by this_is_who_we_are because: typos
Originally posted by Zaphod58
Originally posted by Wonderer2012
It was deployed in spring and made a safe transit.
She made safe transit multiple times while she was there. Carriers tend to transit through the Gulf several times while they are on deployment, to make ports of call in various areas in the region.
Red, commanded by retired Marine Corps Lt. General Paul K. Van Riper, used old methods to evade Blue's sophisticated electronic surveillance network. Van Riper used motorcycle messengers to transmit orders to front-line troops and World War II light signals to launch airplanes without radio communications. Red received an ultimatum from Blue, essentially a surrender document, demanding a response within 24 hours.
Thus warned of Blue's approach, Red used a fleet of small boats to determine the position of Blue's fleet by the second day of the exercise. In a preemptive strike, Red launched a massive salvo of cruise missiles that overwhelmed the Blue forces' electronic sensors and destroyed sixteen warships. This included one aircraft carrier, ten cruisers and five of six amphibious ships. An equivalent success in a real conflict would have resulted in the deaths of over 20,000 service personnel. Soon after the cruise missile offensive, another significant portion of Blue's navy was "sunk" by an armada of small Red boats, which carried out both conventional and suicide attacks that capitalized on Blue's inability to detect them as well as expected.[1]
At this point, the exercise was suspended, Blue's ships were "re-floated", and the rules of engagement were changed; this was later justified by General Peter Pace as follows: "You kill me in the first day and I sit there for the next 13 days doing nothing, or you put me back to life and you get 13 more days' worth of experiment out of me. Which is a better way to do it?"[2]
After the reset, both sides were ordered to follow predetermined plans of action. After the wargame was restarted, the war game was forced to follow a script drafted to ensure a Blue Force victory. Among the rules imposed by this script, Red Force was ordered to turn on all his anti-aircraft radar in order for them to be destroyed, and Red Force was not allowed to shoot down any of the aircraft bringing Blue Force troops ashore.[3]
Van Riper also claimed that exercise officials denied him the opportunity to use his own tactics and ideas against Blue Force, and that they also ordered Red Force not to use certain weapons systems against Blue Force and even ordered that the location of Red Force units to be revealed.[4]
This led to accusations that the war game had turned from an honest, open free play test of America's war-fighting capabilities into a rigidly controlled and scripted exercise intended to end in an overwhelming American victory.,[3] which meant that "$250 million was wasted".[5]
Aftermath
Due to his criticism regarding the scripted nature of the new exercise, Van Riper resigned his position in the midst of the war game. Van Riper later expressed concern that the war game's purpose had shifted to reinforce existing doctrine and notions of infallibility within the U.S. military rather than serve as a learning experience.
Originally posted by Zaphod58
reply to post by Wonderer2012
No, but what's the point? Saving a few million on decommissioning fees? Any false flag would be transparent as hell, as I stated above.
Originally posted by this_is_who_we_are
reply to post by Wonderer2012
Question: The exercise is underway now, but how long is it supposed to last?