1. I'm just here for the fireworks.
2. For ppl dissing iran as a dud, well... if it was a dud they would be already at war - Afghanistan was quick, Iraq was... not so quick but well, at
least had a swift decision, but with Iran we do see a lot of idling. Reasons for this are;
a) Its not easy. Sure you can bomb it, but they have a tough defense, a well equipped army, good airforce and trying to take Tehran (which is
needed) by putting troops on the ground (which btw, is needed also) will be suicide. Pure and simple. You cant go through the streets of Tehran like
you did in Baghdad. It will be a massacre and they know that.
b) Because of point a) above, theres a lot of preparation needed to be done. Of course israel is a dog with rabies drooling and wanting to attack
iran brainlessly, the US actually has them on a leash - not forbidding them to attack but saying if they attack they'll do it alone - well, Israel
doesnt have the means to challenge Iran nd no, nuclear weapons are not on the table, because if Israel dares to use them the rest of the world will
prolly wipe Israel off the map instantly - this is not the 40s and that kind of behavior is unacceptable - even coming from the
all-righteous-and-poor-suffering-jews. The world would wipe them and they know it. So, with nuclear weapons out of the game, Israel has no means of
winning a war with Iran. Their man power (which is needed to take over) is ridiculous compared to Iran, plus Iran is "playing at home" which means
they have all the advantage, so... pretty much, Israel vs Iran would be a fight with a ratio like 10.000 to 1. Israeli troops would be slaughtered and
would make Israel defense weaker thus even more susceptible to a serious attack - not from Iran, but from their neighbors who love them so much for
all the atrocities they've been doing for the past 50 years. Would be the perfect opportunity. Iran just needs to defend - they got their mindless
dogs of war drooling waiting for the first sight of Israeli weakness - because well, its easy to be tough behind their walls.
c) Well Iran also go friends. Friends which Israel cant match. Friends which Israel cant match and the US cant afford to have an open
confrontation. Some of their friends arent actually friends but "the enemy of my enemy is my friend" so they'd get some support that even the might US
cant match - the possibilities of lighting up a chain reaction with russia and china are too great.
d) Proxy wars. Well if Israel is busy with Iran, and the US turns out to go party with them that leaves a lot of the troops scattered in very...
uneasy places - like the border of pakistan (what you swallowed that crap that ISI officer told about the bin laden joke? They hated it and will
exercise some pain over those guys at the border) and NK / SK issue which also has US troops there, but if the "main US" is fighting a true fight
somewhere else, they wont be able to defend SK against a real attack from NK. The China / Taiwan tension - this one is easy, if the big dog is not
watching, the chinese will simply take ... all those 2 seconds to take over taiwan. Russia also has scores to settle.
e) Image: With all the above scenarios, with or without the US intervention, both Israel and the US will seem weak, and if we were talking about
Russia, well that would be ok, cause ppl respect Russia enough to recognize a "good adversary" and would excuse weakness by saying "man, its russia
ok, its not some underdog" - BUT it IS a supposed underdog and the US and Israel cant afford to look weak to the eyes of the world against an underdog
like Iran. If this happens, the US supremacy will shatter like the roman empire because all the small little haters will jump on the US / Israel - you
know like some dogs, the bull terriers that were bred to fight bulls, one alone cant do much, but lots of small dogs against a bull will take down the
bull... and like all the species in nature, if we smell blood we will take advantage of it and tear it to shreds.
f) The very real possibility that if the conflict escalates, Europe will not be involved. Well this plays a major part and while some of you may
argue that the EU will jump on defense of the US, if the conflict is large enough, they wont. Plus they only have to gain on seeing the US taking a
beating, so why defend them? And they know that, and thats also why they dont support Israel on this little entourage of theirs. The EU has seen the
two biggest wars of the 20th century play out on their own backyard, something the US has never seen, so... as old, scarred and burned nations, they
have the "knowledge of the wise".
g) Russia. Enough said. Who knows what Russia is going to do? Wait for the right moment to end all that crap? Makes sense if you want to go back
to super power status. But who knows - Russia is and always will be unpredictable no matter which words they use.
3. All this silence is actually a Mexican standoff
edit on 24-9-2012 by FraternitasSaturni because: (no reason given)