posted on Sep, 21 2012 @ 05:42 PM
These remarks are addressed (in the first instance) to those who claim that “nothing will happen at the end of 2012”.
I have every sympathy with what you’re trying to say.
But the expression is too strong, and it’s not quite what you mean.
If we include the events that are caused by human agency, we can find “something happening” in the story of most years, and it’s very unlikely
that this year will be an exception.
Predictions have been made about specific years in the past. Some enthusiasts were expecting Christ to return in 1666, and others were expecting him
in 1914. Those expectations were not fulfilled, but one was the year of the Great Fire of London, and the other was the beginning of the First World
War So nobody could have said that “nothing happened” in those years.
In this case, if nothing else happens, there’s always the possibility of self-fulfilling prophecy, some event stimulated by the expectation of
That isn’t what you mean, of course.
You’re not talking about events caused by human agency. You’re talking about predicted events beyond human control, such as aliens revealing
themselves, or a mass “ascension”, or the arrival of the planet Nibiru, or whatever is supposed to happen at the expiry of the “Timewave”.
What you mean is that you’re not expecting any of these predicted events
In which case it would be advisable to say so, to make that qualification, to avoid inviting this kind of retort.
Your scepticism will have been vindicated if “nothing” happens in this more limited sense.
Your scepticism will have been proved wrong, on the other hand, if one of the predicted events does happen.
But if one of the predicted events did take place, would that mean that the believers in “2012” had been proved right?
No, that conclusion does not follow at all.
They cannot make that claim, because the speculations around “2012” contain so many varied and contradictory elements that it simply isn’t
possible for all of them to be fulfilled.
Therefore if “something” did happen, whatever it might be, this would not mean the vindication of the “2012” movement in general.
Those who were expecting that particular event would be vindicated, but the rest of the movement, who were expecting something completely different,
would be in the same boat as the complete sceptics; they would have got it wrong.
This comes about because the “2012” movement is not a single belief system, but a coalition of different belief systems, choosing to fix their
attention on the same date.
So the content of the overall expectation, that “something” will be happening at the end of the year, is coming from many different sources.
People are quoting Mayan calendars and Hopi prophecies and Sumerian texts; more modern authors are coming up with calculations and speculations
about pole shifts and earth movements through the galaxy and the whole “Timewave Zero” hypothesis.
The believers try to make a virtue out of this multiplicity- “So many cultures are predicting apocalyptic events of some kind for this time, that it
adds up to overwhelming evidence”.
The problem is that all these contributors are saying different things.
In a court case, it would not be enough to summon a crowd of witnesses. You need the testimony of witnesses who can agree with each other
If one witness says the victim was killed by Colonel Mustard in the conservatory with a dagger, a second that he was killed by Miss Scarlet in the
kitchen with a candlestick, and a third reports that it was Professor Plum in the study with a revolver, nobody is going to be impressed by the fact
that they have managed to agree on the date of the murder.
So it is with the case presented by the “2012” movement, concerning what might be happening on or near the twenty-first of December
One line of expectation hopes to see friendly aliens . Another predicts the ominous arrival of a baleful planet. Another is hoping that suitable
qualified souls will be able to “ascend” to a different dimension.
Not only do the witnesses give different reasons why the date is going to be significant, they cannot even agree among themselves about
whether the outcome is expected to be good or bad.
Clearly we cannot be both saved and destroyed at the end of the year.
And we certainly cannot be saved or destroyed in all the different ways that have been put forward.
So the net result is that the fulfilment of any one of these theories will automatically disprove the others.
If the “2012” movement, taken as a whole, is offering up to ten incompatible theories about what will be happening in December, only one of them
(at the most) can be proved right.
That’s ten per cent.
Therefore the twenty-first of December cannot possibly, by logical necessity, be a day when the whole of the “2012” movement will be
vindicated in its predictions.
Instead, it will be a day of decision which tells the rest of us whether the movement was 100% wrong………….. or only 90 %.