reply to post by thesungod
Was there any way of testing the pressure of the volcano in 1707? Was this evidence written down. It is an assumption made by science but in reality
the pressure in 1707 is not really known. The pressure could have been double of what it is today and comparing something has to be made against the
exact conditions of the particular volcano, In the future they will have a good reference after it blows. I understand that they are guessing using
evidence from other known similar situations. That is all they have and it is a good start. If we can keep adding reference materials to our
database for another hundred years we will be a lot more accurate in predicting these things. I don't understand why people can't see this, most
scientists are very aware of their limitations. The writers of the articles that are released are over emphasizing the knowledge of these things. I
hope they aren't teaching the new scientists that we know more than we do nowadays, that could be dangerous and disruptive.
The estimation of the condition of the volcano can also be right on but if using their speculation about the volcano being overdue long ago was taken
seriously ten years ago say, it would have destroyed the validity of science if people would have evacuated back then. I understand how science works
and it was good for them to release this since they know of the condition so people can leave there if they want.
They knew a quake was going to happen soon in Haiti but didn't say anything because there was no exact proof. I think they should have at least told
people to prepare because something may happen within a year in that case.
edit on 7-9-2012 by rickymouse because: (no reason given)