With the Democratic and Republican national conventions approaching quickly, it may be a good time to keep an eye out for the rising stars in each
Conventions are prime time for political
up and comers
from USA today.
Rubio, Christie, Santorum in demand
Perhaps no one will be more in demand in Tampa than Florida's junior senator, Marco Rubio, a rising star in the party who was on Romney's short list
for vice president.
Rubio will host a fundraiser Monday, speak at the Hispanic Leadership Network's "Tapas, Tequila and Tropical Tunes" event Tuesday, introduce Romney on
Thursday night — and more. Two other prominent Hispanic officials, governors Susana Martinez of New Mexico and Brian Sandoval of Nevada, will
headline another Hispanic event.
The Republicans' very deep bench of potential presidential candidates will be on display throughout Tampa:
•New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, the convention keynoter, will travel cross-country (figuratively) to speak to the California delegation.
•Virginia Gov. Bob McDonnell has a full week, starting with a speech to the Faith and Freedom Coalition on Sunday. Among the state delegations he'll
visit: Washington state and Montana.
•Former Pennsylvania senator Rick Santorum, who came in second in the 2012 delegate hunt, will host a major rally of conservative groups on the
convention's third day.
Having won 11 state primaries and caucuses before withdrawing from the GOP race in April, Santorum doesn't need the exposure as much as some others.
"In a sense, he's already re-established his brand," Santorum senior strategist John Brabender says. "I think other people there are establishing
their brand to begin with."
Another potential future candidate who needs no introduction to the party is former Florida governor Jeb Bush. A noted policy wonk, Bush will keynote
a lunch hosted by two Hispanic groups and participate in events on education and entrepreneurship.
Others with prominent speaking roles and busy schedules include Sens. Rob Portman of Ohio, John Thune of South Dakota, Govs. Scott Walker of Wisconsin
and John Kasich of Ohio, and former Minnesota governor Tim Pawlenty.
The party will highlight women and minorities with national potential, including Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal, South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley, New
Hampshire Sen. Kelly Ayotte, Rep. Cathy McMorris Rodgers of Washington and Ted Cruz, the Republican candidate for Senate in Texas.
And the Tea Party won't be left out of the action: Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky, son of GOP presidential candidate Rep. Ron Paul of Texas, will get a
prominent speaking spot Monday.
Mentioned as Republican possibilities: Rubio, Christie, Santorum, Jindal, Bush, Haley, Thune, Pawlenty
Cuomo, O'Malley, Warner lead the pack
The top two names on the Democratic side for 2016 have completely opposite roles at their party's convention this year: Clinton, as secretary of
State, won't show up. Biden, as vice president, will be renominated.
For Clinton, it will be the first convention she's missed since 1968. She will be overseas in China and Russia. She has demurred at every opportunity
when the subject of another run for president comes up, but she remains the front-runner in absentia.
Biden's focus is on this year's race. Once it's over, the subject of 2016 could be broached, says Ted Kaufman, a top Biden adviser who replaced him in
the Senate in 2009-10.
"After the election is over, I'm going to recommend that he call a meeting of the family and friends and advisers and talk about whether he will run
in 2016," Kaufman says.
In Charlotte, the spotlight will be on the next tier of potential presidential candidates, led by New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo— a plausible
front-runner in 2016 if Biden and Clinton, a fellow New Yorker, decide not to run.
"If he's not working this convention as if his life depends on it, then he's making a mistake," Trippi says of Cuomo.
Other top Democrats will be making the rounds and given top speaking roles:
•Maryland Gov. Martin O'Malley, who last month created a federal political action committee, will have a full slate of commitments as chairman of
the Democratic Governors Association.
"We're going to take advantage of the convention and try to get around and meet as many people as we can," his spokesman, Rick Abbruzzese, says.
•Virginia Sen. Mark Warner, a former governor who's considering another run for that office next year, will speak to the Iowa and Florida
•Massachusetts Gov. Deval Patrick has been invited to the Arizona, Iowa, Maryland and Virginia delegation breakfasts and plans to speak at a forum
sponsored by the John F. Kennedy Presidential Library on Sept. 6.
The party will highlight women and minorities who have outside shots at national prominence in much the same way Obama did in 2004. They include San
Antonio Mayor Julian Castro, who will be the first Hispanic to deliver the party's keynote address; California Attorney General Kamala Harris, who is
of Indian and African-American descent; and Elizabeth Warren, the consumer financial protection advocate now running for Senate in
Democrat possibilities: Clinton, Biden, Cuomo, Warner, O'Malley.
Of course, these speculations depend on 2012 results. Paul Ryan isn't mentioned among possible Rep candidates, he probably should be.
Of all these candidates, I view Andrew Cuomo (gov NY) and Hilary Clinton as the strongest for 2016. The Republican field has Rubio, Pawlenty and
Jindal as viable options.
Unless an unknown steps into the spotlight for Rep Party they are in serious jeopardy of losing 2012, and if trends 2010-12 continue (economy
stabilizing, growth starting) for four years and international situation remains somewhat stable, it's not hard to see the Dems taking another eight
years with Cuomo/Clinton.
If I had to put forth a prediction, I'd have to say Obama wins '12. Then it's Cuomo vs. Marco Rubio.
It's a shame the Republican Party is so lacking and Rubio may be forced to run before a ton of experience. He'd be 46 in 2016. Their other best hope
is probably Bobby Jindal, who will also be just in his mid 40's.
By far the biggest challenge to a 16 year Dem Run is the growing budget deficit.
edit on 26-8-2012 by PatrickGarrow17 because: (no reason given)