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2016 Presidential Election

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posted on Aug, 26 2012 @ 07:56 AM
With the Democratic and Republican national conventions approaching quickly, it may be a good time to keep an eye out for the rising stars in each party.

Conventions are prime time for political up and comers from USA today.

Rubio, Christie, Santorum in demand
Perhaps no one will be more in demand in Tampa than Florida's junior senator, Marco Rubio, a rising star in the party who was on Romney's short list for vice president.
Rubio will host a fundraiser Monday, speak at the Hispanic Leadership Network's "Tapas, Tequila and Tropical Tunes" event Tuesday, introduce Romney on Thursday night — and more. Two other prominent Hispanic officials, governors Susana Martinez of New Mexico and Brian Sandoval of Nevada, will headline another Hispanic event.
The Republicans' very deep bench of potential presidential candidates will be on display throughout Tampa:
•New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, the convention keynoter, will travel cross-country (figuratively) to speak to the California delegation.
•Virginia Gov. Bob McDonnell has a full week, starting with a speech to the Faith and Freedom Coalition on Sunday. Among the state delegations he'll visit: Washington state and Montana.
•Former Pennsylvania senator Rick Santorum, who came in second in the 2012 delegate hunt, will host a major rally of conservative groups on the convention's third day.
Having won 11 state primaries and caucuses before withdrawing from the GOP race in April, Santorum doesn't need the exposure as much as some others. "In a sense, he's already re-established his brand," Santorum senior strategist John Brabender says. "I think other people there are establishing their brand to begin with."
Another potential future candidate who needs no introduction to the party is former Florida governor Jeb Bush. A noted policy wonk, Bush will keynote a lunch hosted by two Hispanic groups and participate in events on education and entrepreneurship.
Others with prominent speaking roles and busy schedules include Sens. Rob Portman of Ohio, John Thune of South Dakota, Govs. Scott Walker of Wisconsin and John Kasich of Ohio, and former Minnesota governor Tim Pawlenty.
The party will highlight women and minorities with national potential, including Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal, South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley, New Hampshire Sen. Kelly Ayotte, Rep. Cathy McMorris Rodgers of Washington and Ted Cruz, the Republican candidate for Senate in Texas.
And the Tea Party won't be left out of the action: Sen. Rand Paul of Kentucky, son of GOP presidential candidate Rep. Ron Paul of Texas, will get a prominent speaking spot Monday.

Mentioned as Republican possibilities: Rubio, Christie, Santorum, Jindal, Bush, Haley, Thune, Pawlenty

Cuomo, O'Malley, Warner lead the pack
The top two names on the Democratic side for 2016 have completely opposite roles at their party's convention this year: Clinton, as secretary of State, won't show up. Biden, as vice president, will be renominated.
For Clinton, it will be the first convention she's missed since 1968. She will be overseas in China and Russia. She has demurred at every opportunity when the subject of another run for president comes up, but she remains the front-runner in absentia.
Biden's focus is on this year's race. Once it's over, the subject of 2016 could be broached, says Ted Kaufman, a top Biden adviser who replaced him in the Senate in 2009-10.
"After the election is over, I'm going to recommend that he call a meeting of the family and friends and advisers and talk about whether he will run in 2016," Kaufman says.
In Charlotte, the spotlight will be on the next tier of potential presidential candidates, led by New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo— a plausible front-runner in 2016 if Biden and Clinton, a fellow New Yorker, decide not to run.
"If he's not working this convention as if his life depends on it, then he's making a mistake," Trippi says of Cuomo.
Other top Democrats will be making the rounds and given top speaking roles:
•Maryland Gov. Martin O'Malley, who last month created a federal political action committee, will have a full slate of commitments as chairman of the Democratic Governors Association.
"We're going to take advantage of the convention and try to get around and meet as many people as we can," his spokesman, Rick Abbruzzese, says.
•Virginia Sen. Mark Warner, a former governor who's considering another run for that office next year, will speak to the Iowa and Florida delegations.
•Massachusetts Gov. Deval Patrick has been invited to the Arizona, Iowa, Maryland and Virginia delegation breakfasts and plans to speak at a forum sponsored by the John F. Kennedy Presidential Library on Sept. 6.
The party will highlight women and minorities who have outside shots at national prominence in much the same way Obama did in 2004. They include San Antonio Mayor Julian Castro, who will be the first Hispanic to deliver the party's keynote address; California Attorney General Kamala Harris, who is of Indian and African-American descent; and Elizabeth Warren, the consumer financial protection advocate now running for Senate in Massachusetts.

Democrat possibilities: Clinton, Biden, Cuomo, Warner, O'Malley.

Of course, these speculations depend on 2012 results. Paul Ryan isn't mentioned among possible Rep candidates, he probably should be.

Of all these candidates, I view Andrew Cuomo (gov NY) and Hilary Clinton as the strongest for 2016. The Republican field has Rubio, Pawlenty and Jindal as viable options.

Unless an unknown steps into the spotlight for Rep Party they are in serious jeopardy of losing 2012, and if trends 2010-12 continue (economy stabilizing, growth starting) for four years and international situation remains somewhat stable, it's not hard to see the Dems taking another eight years with Cuomo/Clinton.

If I had to put forth a prediction, I'd have to say Obama wins '12. Then it's Cuomo vs. Marco Rubio.

It's a shame the Republican Party is so lacking and Rubio may be forced to run before a ton of experience. He'd be 46 in 2016. Their other best hope is probably Bobby Jindal, who will also be just in his mid 40's.

By far the biggest challenge to a 16 year Dem Run is the growing budget deficit.

edit on 26-8-2012 by PatrickGarrow17 because: (no reason given)

posted on Aug, 26 2012 @ 08:00 AM
Didn't Nostradamus predict that number 44 would be the last?

Just sayin'...

posted on Aug, 26 2012 @ 08:06 AM
reply to post by IrVulture

I'm expecting a good showing of replies along the lines of the election won't happen/ it'll be a NWO police state/ jesus will be ruling by then/ aliens will take over/ ascended masters will rule benevolently/ etc.

Most likely scenario, no guarantee of course, is that America elects a president in a similar fashion to what we're all used to.

posted on Aug, 26 2012 @ 09:49 AM
reply to post by PatrickGarrow17

I am not a Obama supporter, in fact I detest the man, BUT in the interest of consistency how can Obama not be eligible for POTUS because his father was born in Kenya (assuming he was indeed born in Hawaii), but Rubio can be President even though his parents are from Cuba? Rubio was born in America, but his parents were not. This is the exact same argument being made about Obama and hie father. 2016 will certainly be interesting, provided we are still here and haven't starved to death or been obliterated by nukes.

posted on Aug, 26 2012 @ 10:27 AM
reply to post by OptimusSubprime

Rubio '16 would be lot like Obama '08. He's got a celebrity like star power and charisma. Also, he'd be the first of his ethnicity to win presidency.

posted on Aug, 26 2012 @ 12:21 PM

Originally posted by PatrickGarrow17
reply to post by OptimusSubprime

Rubio '16 would be lot like Obama '08. He's got a celebrity like star power and charisma. Also, he'd be the first of his ethnicity to win presidency.

Sure, but I am pointing out the fact that the Republicans and Conservatives that have said Obama is not eligible because his Father was born in Kenya cannot support Rubio because of the same reason. If they do, the MSM will have a field day with that. By the way, I am one of the people that doesn't believe he is eligible because his Father was born in Kenya. I think this is why Romney didn't pick him as VP because he didn't want to open that can of worms.

posted on Aug, 26 2012 @ 06:37 PM
reply to post by OptimusSubprime

There's nothing saying parents have to be born in US.

posted on Aug, 26 2012 @ 10:10 PM
Aren't we getting ahead of ourselves here? You are counting your chicks before they hatch. The RNC and DNC have yet to commence and here you are talking about 2016 as IF OBAMA HAD THIS ELECTION WRAPPED UP. BTW, the latest O-H-I-O polls show Obama/Romney at 45-45.

Dispatch Poll results: Tight races put undecided voters in control by Darrel Rowland
10 percent up for grabs in presidential race; Senate struggle has 12 percent of wiggle room

posted on Aug, 26 2012 @ 10:18 PM
reply to post by RELDDIR

Yup, this is useless speculation.

The point was to emphasize how the conventions are often used as jumping off points for the next election, see Obama 2004 dem convention speech.

Also, pointing out that the democratic party has a deeper stable of experienced politicians. Cuomo and Clinton have longer resumes than Rubio, Jindal, Ryan, and Christie.

Which makes winning 2012 all the more important for GOP.
edit on 26-8-2012 by PatrickGarrow17 because: (no reason given)

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