posted on Aug, 21 2012 @ 08:18 AM
Despite the 9-11 terrorist attacks, the Chinese government remains unconvinced of U.S. sincerity about defeating terrorism and instead sees the
war on terrorism as a mechanism for further encirclement of China.
All these Middle East threads got me thinking of the conflict and I thought I'd add some stuff on an aspect which is little discussed.
Any major international issue must be viewed with respect to China being a major player...
Since the early 90's China has been industrializing and expanding it's economy at an unprecedented rate on an unprecedented scale. In 1992 their
GDP/capita was 1000 and total national output was 488 bil USD. By 2002 GDP/capita was up to 2900 and national GDP to 1.45 tril. In 2011 per
capita:5,432 and total GDP 7.3 tril. They are growing 8-10% a year. It's straight up ridiculous. And the population is still half
Why does this relate to the Middle East? All of that growth takes oil! And we know where that comes from. China is the #2 importing nation in the
world, still far behind the US
Chinese policy in the Middle East has grown more active over the past decade. With its overriding goal of securing oil and gas to fuel China's
economic growth, the Chinese government has actively cultivated its relations with the oil-rich Middle East, especially Iran and Saudi Arabia. In
their dogged pursuit of this goal, Chinese policymakers have been more than willing not only to undercut U.S. nonproliferation efforts but also to
work closely with governments that export Islamism—despite Beijing's concerns about China's own increasingly assertive Uighur Muslim population.
Rather than distance itself from these promoters of jihad, the Chinese government has gambled that embracing Iran and Saudi Arabia in lucrative oil
and weapons deals will buy it some protection from their export of political Islam.
China seems willing to talk to anyone in the name of business.
China's new Middle East policy is not exclusivist. Whereas Beijing views Iran and the Arab world through the prism of its oil needs, the Chinese
government continues to cultivate relations with Israel in order to acquire Western technology necessary for China's military modernization program.
After Russia, Israel is China's second largest supplier of weaponry.
Aside from economic involvement, there is also the inevitable game of positioning between China and America that is to take place in the coming
decades for Alpha status.
When looking at the prospect of World War Three, were it to be initiated by an Iranian-Israeli conflict, it's easy to see who the beneficiary would
be. Can America afford a large scale war effort? Wouldn't we be risking an insurmountable debt? It's hard to imagine a smooth recovery. Meanwhile,
China could end up playing peacemaker in a similar fashion to US in WW2 and may be the only government with capacity to clean up the mess, setting the
stage for Chinese dominance for the foreseeable future.
Weaker America, stronger China.
An expanded conflict in the Middle East could be the fatal blow to the faultering West and shift power to China decisively. It is worth investigating
whether China could possibly be actively involved in initiating a crippling war with a global coup in mind.
article from 2005
All quotes from above link
Note: HIghly speculative