The case against a Nuclear Armed Iran., page 1

Part 3: Nuke the entire land area?

Now there is a fairly simple issue to deal with here. It's simple but it's real serious and it's not something Iran would likely laugh off.

Who would Iran nuke, assuming they were making some? Tel Aviv? Surely not Jerusalem. Dimona? I'd say that spot is a given and would experience nuclear digging too. Where else though? Iran would never deliberately drop nukes straight into the West Bank, right?

Well... They'd have to.. If Nuclear Weapons were the extent and means of attack without ground invasion by other nations...They'd have to drop a few and literally obliterate the West Bank entirely. Why?

This part isn't helpful to Israel to highlight, but in this context, it sure makes the statement about the issue.

The Media sometimes makes it sound like the West Bank is a Palestinian area in practice with some Israeli settlements. In reality, it's more like Israeli controlled land the Palestinians are permitted to reside on. The sheer use of land shows that. This shows the number and spread of the literal settlements.

As that shows, again, if Iran is to be taken seriously in making these with the intent of using them, they'd have to drop them right to the Jordan River. There are over 350,000 Settlers there, so overlooking or missing them just wouldn't do.

Then...there is the final issue for The Ayatollah and others in the Iranian Government to consider...if we're to accept all this about Iran's intentions.

Israel and the Jewish people have a history that goes far back past the time America was even a passing thought to go find. They identify with their Faith and as closely and directly as the most devout Muslim by what I've seen. Of course every faith has it's wide swing for numbers between devout and 'in name only' however, there are a whole lot more Jews than live in the Middle East and if Iran started such a war, they'd never ever stop for revenge.

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Conclusions

All this .... would have to be considered and depending on the issue, allowed for, accepted or just flat ignored.

In a nation run by a single man, I might buy it. In a nation where technology and education levels are relatively primitive? I might buy it... I don't buy it with Iran because they simply aren't a dictatorship or uneducated. The 12th Imam material is among what I've read and I'm familiar with. It's disturbing to my thinking and the opposition seen to spill over both inside and outside the Government in Iran shows I'm not alone in that.

Iran has, up to now, had little trouble containing it, it would seem by all I've read.

Ahmadinejad also isn't the center of power in Iran. The Ayatollah is. Media reports from Iran over the past years show the President isn't even in especially good favor and their domestic economy sucks. He's not the most favored leader lately.....and he's the bombastic loudmouth.

The Ayatollah is the one I've listened for as he's one that speaks rarely but usually quite clearly. Kinda like looking at other historical bad guys. They have a habit of telegraphing what history shows they later went on to do.. So I pay attention.

““The Iranian nation has never pursued and will never pursue nuclear weapons. There is no doubt that the decision makers in the countries opposing us know well that Iran is not after nuclear weapons because the Islamic Republic, logically, religiously and theoretically, considers the possession of nuclear weapons a grave sin and believes the proliferation of such weapons is senseless, destructive and dangerous.”

Source

Keeping in mind that he has no reason to lie himself, he's their version of the Pope for the Shia and he rarely says much either way, I give his words a bit of weight.

I also give weight to statements made over the last couple years about turning their reactor fuel production into a full export enterprise to African nations and others. Swapping oil for Reactor rods seems to be at least part of their thinking...and I may go into that for another thread. That would bring the wrath of the west too...if not so clearly explained.

However, in the narrow scope I set out to look at...... Is Iran really building nuclear weapons and if so, with intent to use them? I certainly have satisfied myself that it's extremely unlikely. If nothing else, I hope what I share gives everyone else food for thought on the war we all seem headed into.