reply to post by fedeykin
I don't think Iran is disclosing its plans. If you read the report, you will notice it actually comes from the US. It is the US navy, and defense
think tanks in Washington, that are debating what threat, if any, does the Iranian Navy and its probable
tactics, pose to the US navy.
I would tend to agree, though, that I cannot see the Iranian sustaining a long-term engagement with the US navy. Even it it were able to inflict
significant damage to one ship or more - which I believe it can - the US's advanced targeting systems, anti-ship missiles and guns coupled with air
support would, in my view, prove impossible for Iran's navy to withstand or even avoid.
But I'm sure the Iranian navy has thought about that.
The question, therefore, becomes strategic rather than tactical. It is not whether the Iranian navy can defeat the US navy in the straight of Hormuz,
but rather what role would the Iranian navy play within a broader conflict with the US and its allies?
In my view, there are probably two main options for the Iranians in this respect: one is to restrict the US navy's ability to manoeuver within the
straight and to launch and support air/ground operations within Iran. The US relies heavily on its navy for its major operations and so, by creating a
threatening envrionment, the Iranians could potentially impair and degrade the US's strike power.
The second option is to aim for a psychological effect by targetting "en masse" and, hopefully, sinking an aircraft carrier or another high-value
symbolic target, to inflict trauma upon the enemy and boost the morale of Iranian forces. This would probably be a "last chance" scenario though.
Can the Iranians hold their own? I hope so, because I don't think it's in the world interest for the US to topple and destroy yet another middle