We experienced a very mild summer this year. It is my belief that winter 2004 will be a very cold and snowy one. I think this winter may rival
the winter of 1989. Some of you may remember how severe that winter was. It brought a historic white Christmas to parts of Florida. That year an
incredible snowstorm hit Indiana. It dumped nearly 10 inches of snow in an area that has received no more than a trace of snow in the past 10 years.
The snowfall average for October in Indianapolis, IN is in all honestly worthless because of that single storm. It actually gives the idea that on
average the city receives a little measureable snow each October. That simply isn't the case. Here is where 2004 is starting to look like 1989. In
the 2nd half of the 16 day forecast the city is expected to get some 4 inches of snow. Might not sound like much but if this holds up it will be the
2nd greatest October snow in history.
www.climatepatrol.com...
Its ironic that the snow is forecasted for October 19th, 2004.... exactly 15 years to the date from the last (and probably only other) October snow
storm.
But how are things setting up on a larger scale? Here is 10 days out for North America.
www.climatepatrol.com...
This is an impressive pattern for so early in the season. This system is pulling very cool/cold air deep into the south. How long this pattern
holds up remains to be seen. In 1989 it held up until about the first of the year. Keep in mind also that patterns like this that get too strong too
early can drain the pool of cold air in the arctic causing a warm spell later in the year. If too much gets drained too early it can take weeks for
it to recharge.
Key thing to watch out for is snow cover. A solid early snowcover is the key to a long and cold winter.