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X class flare, almost direct hit Saturday

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posted on Jul, 12 2012 @ 10:58 PM
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X class flare, almost direct hit Saturday


www.solarham.net

1520 Produces X1.4 Solar Flare and CME
The silence is broken! A major and long duration eruption reaching X1.4 around Sunspot 1520 peaked at 16:52 UTC Thursday afternoon. Type II and IV Sweep Frequency Events were recorded. This event was also responsible for a Strong R3 Radio Blackout on the sunlit side of Earth. A bright Coronal Mass Ejection was produced and appears to be Earth directed.
(visit the link for the full news article)




posted on Jul, 12 2012 @ 10:58 PM
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Impact is expected to be on Saturday, watch out for the auroras near the poles. This could produce quite a good show although I hope it doesn't knock out anything electrical. This blast came from sunspot 1520 which was in great position for an earth directed flare.
This was a long duration event, currently proton levels are in the s1 range.


www.solarham.net
(visit the link for the full news article)



posted on Jul, 12 2012 @ 11:06 PM
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I was just looking at this too and checking charts. You are right about a good show from this. If someone is near the poles anyway. The news seems to be having a real tizzy fit and sounding like it's the Carrington Event Redeux. Ugh.... It's a nice show for Aurora and I'm sure the high satellites are going into whatever protection routine they go into for these...but it's still an X-1. Just barely making the X class at all... When it gets to X-10, yell and I'll definitely be yelling back.


I wish I was in the far north or south though. This should be beautiful.



posted on Jul, 12 2012 @ 11:18 PM
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No doubt it will continue to wreak havoc on our winds and weather here in the US.



posted on Jul, 12 2012 @ 11:35 PM
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reply to post by R6A6W6
 

Yup, gonna be a nice one. Got a great vid from www.solarham.net...

Posted this on my X-Flare thread as well but thought I'd bring it over for you.

Peace



posted on Jul, 12 2012 @ 11:50 PM
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Originally posted by antar
No doubt it will continue to wreak havoc on our winds and weather here in the US.


How does this affect our winds? I have wondered this for awhile now but I am scientifically challenged trying to figure out solarham...



posted on Jul, 13 2012 @ 02:18 AM
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reply to post by Wrabbit2000
 


No it probably wont be a Carrington Event, but it shows that solar cycle 24 is heating up now. When the cycle reaches maximum then the sunspots will be close to or on the solar equator making it more likely for direct hits from solar flares.



posted on Jul, 13 2012 @ 03:30 AM
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reply to post by Jerisa
 


They don't. The Magnetosphere and ionosphere are affected. The wether on earth is not.



posted on Jul, 13 2012 @ 06:27 AM
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I'm out on the north sea just now so i'll keep an eye out, should be good if anything happens



posted on Jul, 13 2012 @ 06:47 AM
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Would a flare be able to affect the JETSTREAM...

I really need it to change, its way to far south
atm. Its to much rain here in Scandinavia....



posted on Jul, 13 2012 @ 06:54 AM
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Kudos to the Site owner for this Data.Below
Solar Alerts
Since March 7th 2011 - Total Solar Flar Count Is:
187 M Flares
13 X Flares
1 X LDE Flare lasting 5hrs
1 M LDE Flare lasting 2hrs
2 M LDE Falres lasting 8hrs
4 M LDE Flares lasting 7hrs
1 M LDE Flare lasting 13hrs
1 X LDE Flare lasting 7hrs
2 C LDE Flares each lasting 9hrs
1 C LDE Flare lasting 4hrs
1 C LDE Flare lasting 10hrs
2 C LDE Flares lasting 4hrs
(LDE = Long Duration Event)

Largest Solar Flare of Solar Cycle 24
X6.9 Flare on 8/9/2011 @ 08:08 UTC

2012 Solar Flares:

July 2012
Total M flares = 38
Total X flares = 2

X1.4 Flare on 7/12/2012 @ 16:52 UTC - Sunspot 1520
- LDE lasting 5hrs
- CME produced- Earth Directed - ETA: July 14, 2012

M2.0 Flare on 7/10/2012 @ 06:27 UTC - Sunspot 1520
M1.7 Flare on 7/10/2012 @ 05:14 UTC - Sunspot 1520
M1.1 Flare on 7/09/2012 @ 23:07 UTC - Sunspot 1520

July 8th total M Flare count = 4
M6.9 Flare on 7/08/2012 @ 16:32 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M1.4 Flare on 7/08/2012 @ 12:10 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M1.1 Flare on 7/08/2012 @ 09:53 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M1.3 Flare on 7/08/2012 @ 05:46 UTC - Sunspot 1515

July 7th total M Flare count = 3
M2.6 Flare on 7/07/2012 @ 11:03 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M1.0 Flare on 7/07/2012 @ 08:28 UTC - Sunspot 1520
M1.2 Flare on 7/07/2012 @ 03:15 UTC - Sunspot 1515

July 6th total M Flare count = 6
July 6th total X Flare count = 1
X1.1 Flare on 7/06/2012 @ 23:08 UTC - Sunspot 1515

M1.3 Flare on 7/06/2012 @ 18:55 UTC - Sunspot 1520
M1.2 Flare on 7/06/2012 @ 13:30 UTC - Sunspot 1520
M1.8 Flare on 7/06/2012 @ 10:29 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M1.5 Flare on 7/06/2012 @ 08:23 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M1.0 Flare on 7/06/2012 @ 02:51 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M2.9 Flare on 7/06/2012 @ 01:40 UTC - Sunspot 1515

July 5th total M Flare count = 11
M1.6 Flare on 7/05/2012 @ 21:45 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M1.6 Flare on 7/05/2012 @ 20:14 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M1.2 Flare on 7/05/2012 @ 13:18 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M6.1 Flare on 7/05/2012 @ 11:44 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M1.8 Flare on 7/05/2012 @ 10:48 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M1.3 Flare on 7/05/2012 @ 07:45 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M1.1 Flare on 7/05/2012 @ 06:58 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M4.7 Flare on 7/05/2012 @ 03:36 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M2.2 Flare on 7/05/2012 @ 02:42 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M2.4 Flare on 7/05/2012 @ 01:10 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M1.1 Flare on 7/05/2012 @ 00:43 UTC - Sunspot 1515

July 4th total M Flare count = 7
M1.2 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 23:55 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M4.6 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 22:09 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M1.8 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 16:39 UTC - Sunspot 1513
M1.3 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 14:40 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M2.3 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 12:24 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M5.3 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 09:45 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M2.3 Flare on 7/04/2012 @ 04:37 UTC - Sunspot 1515

M3.8 Flare on 7/02/2012 @ 20:07 UTC - Sunspot 1515
M5.6 Flare on 7/02/2012 @ 10:52 UTC - Sunspot 1515
- CME produced- ETA: July 5th
M1.1 Flare on 7/02/2012 @ 00:35 UTC - Sunspot 1513
M2.8 Flare on 7/01/2012 @ 19:18 UTC - Sunspot 1513


July definitely is trending up. 38 M class, couple of Xs. its only the 13th.
Check June,May at the Link or

June 2012
M1.6 Flare on 6/30/2012 @ 18:32 UTC - Sunspot 1513
M1.0 Flare on 6/30/2012 @ 12:52 UTC - Sunspot 1513
M2.2 Flare on 6/29/2012 @ 09:20 UTC - Sunspot 1513
M2.4 Flare on 6/28/2012 @ 16:12 UTC - Sunspot 1513
M1.9 Flare on 6/14/2012 @ 14:30 UTC - Sunspot 1504
- LDE lasting 7hrs
- CME produced- ETA: June 16, 2012
M1.2 Flare on 6/13/2012 @ 13:17 UTC - Sunspot 1504
- LDE lasting 2hrs
- CME produced- ETA: June 16. 2012
M1.3 Flare on 6/10/2012 @ 06:45 UTC - Sunspot 1504
M1.8 Flare on 6/09/2012 @ 16:53 UTC - Sunspot 1504
M1.9 Flare on 6/09/2012 @ 11:32 UTC - Sunspot 1504
M2.1 Flare on 6/06/2012 @ 20:06 UTC - Sunspot 1494
M3.3 Flare on 6/04/2012 @ 17:55 UTC - Sunspot 1496

May 2012
M5.1 Flare on 5/17/2012 @ 01:43 UTC - Sunspot 1476
M1.7 Flare on 5/10/2012 @ 20:26 UTC - Sunspot 1476
M5.7 Flare on 5/10/2012 @ 04:18 UTC - Sunspot 1476
M4.1 Flare on 5/09/2012 @ 21:05 UTC - Sunspot 1476
M1.8 Flare on 5/09/2012 @ 14:08 UTC - Sunspot 1476
M4.7 Flare on 5/09/2012 @ 12:32 UTC - Sunspot 1476
M1.4 Flare on 5/08/2012 @ 13:08 UTC - Sunspot 1476
M1.9 Flare on 5/07/2012 @ 14:31 UTC - Sunspot 1470-1471 combined
- LDE lasting 2hrs
M1.3 Flare on 5/06/2012 @ 17:47 UTC - Sunspot 1476
M1.1 Flare on 5/06/2012 @ 01:18 UTC - Sunspot 1476
M1.3 Flare on 5/05/2012 @ 23:01 UTC - Sunspot 1476
M1.4 Flare on 5/05/2012 @ 13:23 UTC - Sunspot 1476

April 2012
M1.0 Flare on 4/27/2012 @ 08:24 UTC - Sunspot 1466
M1.7 Flare on 4/16/2012 @ 17:40 UTC - Sunspot 1461



posted on Jul, 13 2012 @ 07:00 AM
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I'd love to be able to see Auroras for real other than just in pictures and videos



edit on 13-7-2012 by skitzspiricy because: (no reason given)



posted on Jul, 13 2012 @ 07:23 AM
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reply to post by Mister1k
 


Hi Mister1k,
I have always liked the Solarham website, it contains all the info you need to know all in one place and its updated every few minutes. Also if you happen to use Facebook you can go to the Solarham Facebook page and like it and then you will get updates and info posted straight to your wall.

The Mods mooved this thread from Breaking News as they said that Solarham is not a news service. But I think it is a news service as it provides me with news on what the sun is doing lol.



posted on Jul, 13 2012 @ 07:36 AM
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Originally posted by antar
No doubt it will continue to wreak havoc on our winds and weather here in the US.



False, solar flares and winds have absolutley no relation to inner atmosphere or surface winds.

please do a little research before spouting nonsence that others might believe.
edit on 13-7-2012 by Gixxer because: (no reason given)



posted on Jul, 13 2012 @ 07:53 AM
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reply to post by R6A6W6
 

x1.1
come on doomers, get it together



posted on Jul, 13 2012 @ 08:02 AM
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Originally posted by rebellender
reply to post by R6A6W6
 

x1.1
come on doomers, get it together


Where did I imply doom?
Other people on other threads are saying much worse than me.
edit on 13-7-2012 by R6A6W6 because: (no reason given)



posted on Jul, 13 2012 @ 08:06 AM
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Originally posted by R6A6W6
reply to post by Wrabbit2000
 


No it probably wont be a Carrington Event, but it shows that solar cycle 24 is heating up now. When the cycle reaches maximum then the sunspots will be close to or on the solar equator making it more likely for direct hits from solar flares.


No it definitely won't be another Carrington Event. This flare is far smaller. Expect a fuzzy tv / radio signal, loss of phone service, etc - AT WORST.



posted on Jul, 13 2012 @ 08:10 AM
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Originally posted by rebellender
reply to post by R6A6W6
 

x1.1
come on doomers, get it together


I have come to appreciate that about your posts...the great one line nonsense...as always...you have proved to be most worthless to the thread!

Would you like some stars for being catchy...ya...not from me!

You do have a valid point though (amazingly) and it was a small x-flare...nothing too concerning!

Post on...and be good to your neighbor!



posted on Jul, 13 2012 @ 10:16 AM
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Ahhh right on schedule
I'll be in France tomorrow for a whole week, surrounded by farmable land, fruit trees,... I had a feeling I should be taking my bug out bag with seeds etc... so there's no doubt I will be leaving without. If we get knocked off the grid, I couldn't imagine a better place to be



posted on Jul, 13 2012 @ 10:58 AM
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Originally posted by Miccey
Would a flare be able to affect the JETSTREAM...

I really need it to change, its way to far south
atm. Its to much rain here in Scandinavia....


With all due respect i think you will find the Jet Stream is in the position it is because of a VERY stubborn Greenland High Pressure system. This HP system and the location of the main thunderstorm activity in equatorial Africa and the Mid Pacific is creating a Jet Stream pattern than is conducive to miserable as hell weather in North West Europe and Hot Weather in the US. Until the Greenland HP system lowers its heights (signs pointing that way by late July) we will be in this miserable "European Weather" and ridiculous "US Weather"...



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