posted on Jul, 10 2012 @ 10:15 PM
Originally posted by frazzle
reply to post by Soshh
You were the one who was throwing the word shady around the internet in regard to Iran's nuclear program even though there has, to date, been NO
evidence that they are now, or ever intend to build a nuclear weapon.
No there isn't. The suggestion is that they are conducting experiments relevant to the development of a nuclear deterrent and are enriching to 20% in
order to bypass the most laborious part of the enrichment process under the guise of innocuous motives and stockpiling said uranium so that they have
to produce a nuclear deterrent in a relatively short space of time.
It does not mean that they are actively attempting to produce
a nuclear deterrent, nor does it necessarily mean that they seek to produce one
in the future. They already have an effective non-nuclear deterrent.
Its nuclear programme has to be seen in a much wider context. Iran sees itself as the preeminent ME power and it believes that it is constantly
constrained by foreigners. It sees the opportunity to fulfil its potential but knows that the expansion of Iranian influence will be restricted by the
US. Therefore it needs something to trade for concessions from the US, if in future it felt as if the pressure was too great and its opportunity would
be lost. The issue, from the perspective of the US, is that Iran does not yet feel this way.
The idea that the US doesn't want war with Iran isn't very popular around here but I'm afraid that it is a fact and people should have come to
terms with this by now. Since 2006 or even earlier, people have been screaming about an 'imminent' war with Iran that has failed to materialise and
it appears that few people have stopped to wonder why. The US and its allies have had innumerable excuses and opportunities to attack Iran and yet
they have not. They have instead pursued repeated rounds of negotiations despite the apparent futility of negotiating.
Iran reserves the option of exchanging its nuclear programme for concessions from the US, but at the moment it doesn't feel compelled to do anything.
It doesn't feel threatened and so the US and its allies have to strike a delicate balance between threatening Iran and pushing Iran to negotiate the
end to its nuclear programme, whilst of course restricting its influence in the way that it might expect.
If the US and its allies actually attacked Iran, it would be a horrible war for all concerned but Iran would certainly suffer the most. So, if this
war was as likely as people appear to think it is, why would it continue to enrich uranium? Is Iran the most illogical country on earth and run by
complete and utter spastics? Or is it possible that it is naive to see war with Iran just around the corner? If only Iran was as naive.