posted on Jun, 22 2012 @ 11:17 PM
It's possible that the end game of this situation ends up being a balkanization of Syria. I could see Turkey invading and carving off the northern
regions like Aleppo, giving the Russians their port without too many problems, and then leaving the remainder as a rump state. If you look at how the
country was divided historically, you get an idea of how the lines might look.
In many ways, a Turkish-Syrian War is a good outcome for NATO if it remains between just those two because it takes the Russians out of the equation
as a direct adversary, and still accomplishes the larger strategic goal which seems to be complete control of the Middle East and the further
diplomatic isolation of Iran.
In any case, this situation is going hot very soon, and the question isn't whether war will happen, but rather who will be involved and what will
kick it off. There's too many interested parties in Syria to allow the civil unrest to resolve itself naturally, and whomever is responsible for the
agitation, the bigger question to me just seems how big this war will be.