posted on Jun, 14 2012 @ 11:30 PM
reply to post by detachedindividual
You maybe right, I am just trying to understand the situation like the rest of the world. With all the mess and power plays going on it is important
to watch all the angles.
Mubarak's old regime did not come close to gaining the seats required for power as the Muslim brotherhood held a majority in parliament. The point of
legal issue is that 1/3 of the seats where not held by independents according to the constitution. From what I understand, Egypt does not want a
single party with a clear majority as it is quite an culturally diverse country. The discrimination when a single party is in full control is clear so
some limitations and checks are important, hence the independents.
Under this situation I am not sure how Mubarak's regime can ascend to power without massive vote rigging and repeating the same problem that caused
this disillusion of parliament. With how the Egyptian people have responded I find highly unlikely they would put up with such a situation and return
to the streets.
if their elected government fails to give the people the respect, freedoms and stability they are demanding, they will be overthrown too.
This is where I see the courts have stepped in and done this with the primary issue the balance of power. Egypt is not one party or ideology, but
quite a colourful and diverse mix. Unless parliament can reflect the diversity of the population it will not be able to respond to its diverse needs
and desires.
But then if you are right, Mubarak's regime will increase in seats as well as having increased support from the independents. The election process is
very much critical as to how it all plays out, it should not take as long as last time to get moving as there is more familiarity with these chaotic
periods.
If the last election was reasonably fair and the next one is as well then the numbers between Mubarak's regime and the Muslim brotherhood should
remain fairly even with the main change being an increase in the independents. If any party is in a position to capitalise on this situation, then
Mubarak's regime may have a chance, but it has got a lot of cheating to do.