I know there have been a bunch of threads involving Syria and such recently but I wanted to approach the subject from a different perspective. I
believe the conflict is just emblematic of a larger conflict that started with the invasion of Iraq. That is a regional civil war between Shia and
Sunni Islam for hegemony. People will say, “oh no its just Zionist and American imperialism,” which is true, BUT I think the Sunnis and Shias are
just as enthused by this war as the Zionist and are NOT just being manipulated. I’d like to break down how I see this shaping up.
United States- It appeared originally that America was attempting to align itself with the Shia forces by invading Iraq and freeing its mostly Shia
people from their Sunni overload Sadam. Also, at the time of the invasion the US was not putting nearly the pressure as today on other Shia forces,
such as Iran or Syria. I think once the United States saw that the Shia’s in Iraq had no intention of letting them be their puppet masters the tide
started to shift. Once Iran (Shia) saw what a folly the US had walked into in Iraq they began positioning themselves as the regional preeminent
power. The United States has taken note.
Israel- The Israeli’s really don’t have a choice. The Sunni’s hate them, but at the moment they are more scared of Iran than Israel. There is
an unsaid peace between the Gulf States and Israel right now in preparation for war.
The Gulf States- Namely Saudi Arabia is scared to death of the Iranian regime. The Saudi’s have had an ongoing rivalry with the Iranians since the
inception of the Islamic Republic. The idea of an Islamic regime, run by the mullahs like in Iran, spreading to the Arabian Peninsula is what the
Saudi king wishes to avoid. The Gulf States have given permission for Israel to fly over their territory on the way to an Iranian attack. If this
isn’t clear evidence of the Saudi’s commitment to destroy Shiaism I don’t know what is.
Al-Qaeda- The many groups associated with al-Qaeda have all but formally signed up for the US/Sunni agenda. These groups represent the first wave sent
into middle-eastern battlefields. As we have seen in Libya, it was al-Qaeda fighters who eventually sacked Tripoli and removed Gadhafi. The
al-Qaeda/US alliance had so much success in Libya they are trying their hand in Syria.
Russia- The Russians used to be all in with the Arab Sunni states during the 1960s and 70s. Resupplying Syria, Egypt and Jordan during the
Arab-Israel conflicts of the times. In Iran however, Russia has found a new friend. The Iranians represent a perfect ally to counterweight
America’s influence in the region.
Syria- Syria is actually a Sunni Arab country but the government of Assad is Shia. Assad’s Shia sect only makes up about 10% of the Syrian
population at large. That is why Assad knows he must fight with utter brutality to stay in power.
Hezbollah- This terror group is not as well known as al-Qaeda but is probably better trained and certainly better equipped. Unlike al-Qaeda that has
been chased and killed around the world for the last 12 years, Hezbollah has been free to do as they please. With their base in southern Lebanon,
Hezbollah has been training and strengthening with totally immunity for decades.
I know a lot of this has been said already, I just hadn’t heard it put in the context of a middle-east wide war between the two branches of Islam
before. I think Iran and the Gulf States are just as excited by the upcoming conflict as American corporatist and bankers. So what branch of Islam
will be left standing?
edit on 13-6-2012 by KnawLick because: title adjust