It looks like you're using an Ad Blocker.
Please white-list or disable AboveTopSecret.com in your ad-blocking tool.
Some features of ATS will be disabled while you continue to use an ad-blocker.
(visit the link for the full news article)
Catastrophic nuclear accidents such as the core meltdowns in Chernobyl and Fukushima are more likely to happen than previously assumed. Based on the operating hours of all civil nuclear reactors and the number of nuclear meltdowns that have occurred, scientists at the Max Planck Institute for Chemistry in Mainz have calculated that such events may occur once every 10 to 20 years (based on the current number of reactors) -- some 200 times more often than estimated in the past.
Originally posted by Maslo
Seems like their calculation is really trivial. They just divided the number of total operating hours by the number of meltdowns, thats all. Is that really enough for a scientific article? They neglected the fact that all the meltdowns were of old reactor types, newer ones are supposed to be much safer, and many other factors.
Bottom line is, we do not have enough data points to statistically determine dangers of nuclear with any reliability.
I also wonder what is the number of deaths per GWh of energy produced assuming their conclusion is true? Because I am sure it will be well below fossil fuels, thus making nuclear still the least evil option.edit on 23/5/12 by Maslo because: (no reason given)