posted on May, 5 2012 @ 06:00 PM
As for it causing a disaster its a 50/50 chance so really no one knows for sure but i would still be prepared for anything.
Speculative link to natural disasters
Richard Nolle has argued that within ±3 days of a supermoon, the Earth is more subject to natural disasters such as earthquakes and volcanic activity
due to the Moon's increased gravitational force. Speculations have moved the goalposts to within 1 or 2 weeks of a supermoon to suggest a causal
relationship with specific natural disasters such as the 2011 Tōhoku earthquake and tsunami and the 2004 Indian Ocean earthquake and tsunami.
Such a widening of the effect window is unjustified as in both cases the Moon was farther from the Earth than average, making a supermoon effect
Some studies have reported a weak correlation between lunar activity and shallow, very low intensity earthquakes. However, no evidence has been found
of any correlation with major earthquakes. Unjustified claims that the lunar tides trigger earthquakes are rooted in a lack of
appreciation that the stress in the Earth is described by a tensor with six independent parameters and that earthquakes occur as slip on existing,
weak fault planes. Any change in stress, by lunar tides, by impounding a reservoir, or by a large nearby earthquake, changes the local stress tensor
in specific directions. If one wishes to estimate whether a given change advances or hinders slip on a fault, one has to know the orientation of the
fault. It is equally likely that the change of the stress due to the moon clamps the fault shut, rather than advancing slip on it. This is why
Ohtake has carefully considered the orientation of the fault planes in earthquakes that he showed were correlated with lunar tides.
The 2011 Tōhoku earthquake and tsunami is the only earthquake of 8.0 magnitude or greater to have occurred within 2 weeks of the 14 extreme
supermoons from 1900 to the present date, suggesting that the claim of a supermoon effect on the incidence of large-scale earthquakes is