Ron Paul and more importantly, his supporters, will win the long term battle.
I will readily admit that I am a liberal, be aware that I identify as a liberal in the more classical sense, but pragmatically tend to support the
more left leaning candidates. I also enjoy (and have an have an eye for) politics. In the past, I have fed my family with the money made from
working for several political campaigns. I have never been paid to work for a national campaign, but was the campaign manager for several regional
candidates (they all won) and two state-wide races (1 won, 1 lost). I left the field because it is not work that allows me to be the father that I
want to be. Too many long hours, too much travel and too much "compromise".
However, being a political junkie at heart, I have been watching the 2012 race fairly closely and the Ron Paul "Delegate Strategy" in particular.
ATS members like OutKast Searcher have been demonstrating the difficult path that Ron Paul faces to the nomination. In particular, I think his most
recent post about the nomination being settled by a vote of acclamation is quite astute. You will see on Page 7 of that thread where I provided
C-Span footage of how Boehner can very quickly end the roll call vote if needed. Unfortunately for Paul supporters, I don't think the tactic will be
necessary. There is a very good chance that Romney will secure 1144 bound delegates before Tampa.
So, why do I state that Ron Paul will win?
Because politics at its most nuts and bolts level is controlled by informed motivated minorities.
No. Ron Paul will not be the Republican nominee at the conclusion of the Tampa convention, but his Delegate Strategy has mobilized and informed a not
insignificant portion of the electorate on how the system actually works.
And this is a very good thing. And I say that as an individual most associated with the Democratic Party in my state.
I believe strongly in the two party system that Americans have utilized over the course of our history. I have studied the European systems and feel
that they are far more likely to end in grid lock and bad legislation. The problems we are facing today (and it has happened a couple of other times
in our history) is that one of the two parties are not living up to their end of the bargain. The Republicans have gone off the rails and become a
defacto extremist party. This is common in Europe, but in a two party system it is a recipe for disaster.
This is why I am pleased by Paul's Delegate Strategy. It has mobilized an informed minority on how to take back the Republican party and return
conservatism to its rightful place in American politics by advocating for smaller government, less federalism and austerity (even though I personally
disagree with most of these stances). Right now the mainstream in the party seem to be on the brink of a cliff waving their hands in the air like mad
men, unable to do their job of governing, because to them "compromise" is worse than defeat.
There is little doubt in my mind that even if the TPTB within the Republican Party are ignorant to this fact, that there are plenty of others that are
watching the same cycle I am and will capitalize on it in the future. The result being a Republican Party that is more in tune to actually governing.
Political governance operates on a pendulum, and it seems to me, that in the long run, the Ron Paul campaign and its supporters, will help swing the
pendulum back into some sense of equilibrium.
So Ron Paul will win in the way that actually matters the most.
edit on 3-5-2012 by LordOfArcadia because: (no reason
edit on 3-5-2012 by LordOfArcadia because: (no reason given)
edit on 3-5-2012 by LordOfArcadia because: (no