posted on Apr, 30 2012 @ 03:43 PM
Originally posted by OutKast Searcher
You just come back with saying that somehow the Ron Paul supporters are going to vote to unbind every delegate...when that isn't allowed in the
This is a very contentious issue right now. In the 1976 convention Reagan had 79 bound delegates, who were on his side;and, his campaign had a
strategy to have them abstain. When it came down to it, this would not have been enough to reach the magic number, so he gave in to Ford losing by
less than 200 votes.
According to some, a bound delegate may vote their conscience at the convention, whether bound or not. There are rules at the national level which
supersede state rules, especially regarding winner take all states. If the bound delegate, voted against the pledge, then the state party might fine
them or throw them out of the party, but it is not illegal.
Rather, we explain that the RNC rules’ provision on the unit rule make it clear that delegates aren’t bound to vote according to how most
delegates from their state are voting. In fact, delegates can vote according to their own judgment and conscience, and that this is most likely to
take place in a state where a state party’s winner-take-all rule has allowed a candidate to win all delegates primarily due to a split in the
majority vote, or due to votes cast by non-Republican voters participating in the contest.
To explain our case, we look to the language of Rule 38, which was adopted in its current form in 1964. The rule states: “no delegate shall be bound
by any attempt of any state or Congressional district to impose the unit rule.” The unit rule does not prohibit a state from using a winner-take-all
primary in the same way that Rule 15(b) prohibits most states from using a winner-take-all primary when holding a contest earlier than April 1st.
However, the unit rule does prohibit binding delegates to vote according to how a majority of delegates from their state vote – again, a scenario
most likely to occur in a state using the winner-take-all rule.
My opinion is that it really comes down to whomever has the most "real delegates", will decide, as, the rules can even be changed on the convention
floor. One benefit of Romney's bound delegates is that he was in many cases, able to pick his own slate of trusted supporters. However, in
Massachusetts, Paul supporters were able replace many of these delegates, although they are still bound to Romney. A small percentage of "Stealth
Delegates" could change the odds considerably of reaching 1144 on the first round.
I understand that both Gingrich and Santorum campaigns have suggested such a strategy. The Ron Paul campaign has made no such suggestions.
Oh, and don't forget Santorum has not officially resigned. In the event of a brokered convention, he may add himself to the mix.
Oh what fun and joy, we have here. Could be very interesting.