Originally posted by darkbake
We do seem to be hitting escalating extinction events since 2001, when the world trade centers were attacked. For example, New Orleans, the Indonesian
Tsunami, Deepwater Horizon Oil Spill and Fukashima. In fact, even though it is hard to believe, the last one could eclipse the tsunami (that killed
hundreds of thousands), as it was a large earthquake and tsunami targeted at a nuclear power plant that now has the capability to kill billions if its
spent fuel rods collapse. It is probably the first one on the level of near-extinction event.
I think you've misunderstood the term "extinction level event".
An EQ, or Tsunami is not an extinction level event. Even a nuclear accident like Fukushima isn't.
An ELE is a GLOBAL event capable of destroying the Human race or significantly reducing numbers to make ultimate survival of the species more
Nothing like that has happened, not even close. An EQ or other natural catastrophe generally affects one region, not the entire planet. A disease
might do it, as this book suggests. But scientific advances are making that less likely by the day.
HIV/AIDS could have been an ELE if it had come to existence in 1880 rather than 1980 (ish). Because we were able to see it, warn of it, treat it,
control it, it didn't become an ELE. imagine if that had happened a century before, with little or no sex education, no contraceptives, no effective
method of communicating to the public, no indication of its presence... within one generation it could have decimated the entire population.
Like you say, the closest we have had recently is probably Fukushima or Chernobyl. But either of those are still not likely to be considered an ELE,
because there is treatment for the affects of radiation, there are methods of control in place, we are able to communicate within seconds to an entire
That will not result in extinction, but it probably will result in plenty of illness and birth defects. Keep an eye on the population of Japan in the
coming years, because I do believe we'll see a massive spike in the number of children born with defects. And then it will be very hard indeed for
the Japanese government to try to cover up what they have been responsible for.
This book is fascinating, and I think I might have to track down a copy. I like how the OP says we don't "have" to read it. When was reading an
obviously good book such a chore?