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Originally posted by tport17
reply to post by Drew99GT
We have internet/radar on our phones and I have a few things saved on my kindle fire. We keep up with radio stations for current weather alerts. And we have various websites we use to help guide us. No way we would go out in that mess blind! We've been through training and I've done some online training and my own personal research. This is our third year doing this so we are still learning.
We were looking at towns between Salina and Wichita. But if you think west of Wichita I might start looking at Hutchinson area. Are you going to be going out there tomorrow? Drop me a PM!
edit on 13-4-2012 by tport17 because: (no reason given)edit on 13-4-2012 by tport17 because: (no reason given)
NWS ICT's wording in their afternoon AFD is good or bad depending on whether you're a chaser or a property owner in the area! They're having serious doubts now about the forecast. I think the biggest issue now is the fact that the 500 mb flow will be a bit further north and west of the main dryline area and surface features, and that is where disturbances in the flow are likely to kick off convection. There's still likely going to be at least isolated supercells in the southern high risk area, but in terms of "outbreak", as in many discrete tornadic supercells - I think that is becoming a bit less likely. I think that is a result of the positive tilt if the longwave trough; it's ejecting out quickly now instead of having time to dig in, deepen a surface low closer to the upper trough axis, and create the balance of upper air features directly above surface features/dryline area. If I was chasing, I'd probably start at least considering the northern target area. Man, this is a tough forecast because if at least one or two isolated supercells do get going before the cold front overtakes everything later tomorrow night, they'll be monsters. :edit: and just as I thought, the NAM is slowing things down and the dryline is further west than previously progged. That might be a good thing as the jet streak is a bit closer to the instability axis over the southern dryline. Surface low at 00z is near North Platte! That's where I'd target. In fact, now that things are back that far west, I might mosey on up that way tomorrow!!! North Platte to Grand Island along the warm front directly east of the surface low/triple point and points to the immediate southeast will be the sweet spot IMO. In fact, I bet everything ends up even further west than it looks now.
"I am very much concerned about central Nebraska through central Kansas and into some of Oklahoma," he said. "We will see some powerful super cells develop late afternoon into early evening." The federal government says, "a tornado outbreak likely across the southern and central Plains northwesterly into the Mid-Missouri Valley from Saturday afternoon through Saturday night."
I stepped out on my front porch to have a cigarette and the wind about blew my head off in Tulsa. The storms aren't even here yet and it is super windy. Gear up for some wild weather tonight guys
I'm highly suspicious about this storm though. NEVER BEFORE have we received so much "notice" for a large strong storm, but here they are already flashing warnings on local television for a storm that shouldn't arrive here until after 8pm.
The National Weather Service in Wichita has issued a
* Tornado Warning for...
southeastern Ellsworth County in central Kansas...
northwestern McPherson County in central Kansas...
northeastern Rice County in central Kansas...
southwestern Saline County in central Kansas...
* until 1100 PM CDT
* at 1010 PM CDT... a confirmed tornado was located near Lyons... and
moving northeast at 40 mph.
Hazard... damaging tornado and tennis Ball size hail.
Source... weather spotters confirmed tornado.
Impact... significant house and building damage possible. Mobile
homes completely destroyed if hit. Some trees uprooted or
snapped. Vehicles will likely be thrown by tornadic winds.
* Locations impacted include...
Geneseo... Little River and Marquette.
To repeat... a tornado is on the ground. Take cover now. Move to an
interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy building. Avoid
windows. If in a Mobile home... a vehicle or outdoors... move to the
closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris.
Tornadoes are difficult to see and confirm at night. Take cover now.
Lat... Lon 3876 9792 3851 9770 3827 9821 3844 9834
time... Mot... loc 0313z 230deg 34kt 3840 9821