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Originally posted by ColAngus
reply to post by stereologist
No, but you're forgetting this is fear-mongering math.
You have to allow a +/- of anywhere from 1 to 365 days.
Originally posted by gwydionblack
Seriously so many people on ATS are ignorant fools.
The fourths increments that the OP speaks of (4, 8, 11, 15, 19, 23 days following the initial 188 days) were all accounted for in the original theory and were all mentioned as potential dates for followup quakes and even larger quakes. No data has been doctored, no data has been cherry picked, it just FITS, plain and simple.
No. I will not. Because the original theory already has. Go back, read it yourself, and stop jumping to conclusions.
The original theory was very expansive and encompassing. It was not exact and it accounted for a LARGE margin of error. I'm not saying it didn't But people are not given it enough credit.
Saying the theory is wrong is one thing. Go ahead, provide evidence and state your claim.
But stating that something doesn't fit with the theory without even understand the theory yourselves is just ridiculous.
So basically you are bluffing. I figured that before I asked.
There you go admitting this so-called theory is crap.
1. The 188-day theory does not account for ALL quakes whether they are 7+ or not. It accounts for the particular quakes that occur during that time. The point of the theory in this regard is to show that every 188 days, and in the occurrence of the other proceeding days, there is some common factor that is causing these quakes to happen.
THIS DOES NOT MEAN THAT EVERY QUAKE IS CAUSED BY THAT SAME FACTOR. Quakes are caused by MANY underlying things - the 188-day quakes are only listing the caused by one common denominator, a denominator that as of right now is unknown.
Your problem is that you like to make crap up and tout it as proof. You make belief that whatever is in your mind is the truth and everything that goes against such logic needs to disprove whatever skewed belief you already have implanted in your mind.
This theory is not crap. In fact, since the theory has come to light, it has stood all tests placed against it.
PROVE ME WRONG.
OF COURSE THE DAMN QUAKES ARE CHERRY PICKED - THE DAMN THEORY IS NOT ACCOUNTING FOR ALL QUAKES.
And damn it, there is no "fudge" factor. There is a matrix set of numbers.
Those EXACT NUMBER OF DAYS. Not more, not less. This is what people in science call a "data set".
This is a set of days in which events in the pasts have been shown to occurs, nearly ALWAYS, in those intervals.
I understand the theory. YOU DO NOT.
You do not have a say in this. You asinine comparative theories are ridiculous, hold no data records, and have no basis in fact, whereas the 188-day theory can be taken back and shown with relative certainty to have a pattern about it.
But according to you, it is something we should bury and never speak of again.