Originally posted by TexasConspiracyNut
"All this does is raise the price of cars higher so people will find it harder to afford a new car. They'll just keep driving their old high
mileage oil burning car instead until it falls apart."
Very true. In the realm of passenger vehicles on the road today, the vast majority are driven by low to middle income drivers who often buy used cars.
When buying a new car, a $21K (MSRP) Toyota Prius or $19K for a Honda Civic Hybrid may be out of reach compared to a $10K Chevy Cavalier. Tack an
extra $3K onto the Cavalier and it becomes more out of reach.
For those concerned about "greenhouse gases", consider that an older vehicle that starts to burn oil can be a worse emitter than some newer SUV's.
Initially, much of the burned oil can overwhelm the vehicle's catalytic converter, so some of it's carbon monoxide (CO) content doesn't convert to
carbon dioxide (CO2). Eventually, the amount of oil burned increases and it's soot components further reducing the catalyst's ability to function
until it reaches a point where it fails altogether. While CO2 may hang around in the atmosphere 100 to 300 years or more, the CO takes about 10
additional years before it breaks down into CO2. And while the vehicle's catalyst is failing, more nitrous compounds are released in the process.
In large urban areas where state EPA programs exist to check emissions, many low income drivers who's vehicles eventually fail an emissions test end
up passing the vehicle to someone else and buying yet another used car. It takes the EPA programs several months to catch up to the failed vehicle
after it has changed hands. Often, it has changed hands again by that time. Rather than paying upwards of $3000 for a valve job to reduce oil
emissions and another $1000+ to replace a catalyst for a car that isn't even worth $1000, buying another used car ends up being a better deal. This
starts the process over again for many people who can't afford a hybrid, let alone a new car with an extra $3K added to the price tag.
In my personal observations in and around the Chicago area, many cars on the road are noticeably burning oil.
The California law is no magic bullet. For the most part, the extra reduction in emissions will have to come through higher fuel efficiency (less fuel
burned; less emissions). This means smaller cars, less performance and more plastic used to reduce overall vehicle weight at a time when auto makes
are being forced to include more safety features. The "better air conditioners, more efficient transmissions" mentioned in the article will not add
up to much improvement alone.
As more and more people and cars hit the roads each year, no legislation ever seems to be introduced to limit the number of drivers on the roads. By
the time that the reduced exhaust standards must take effect (2016), the increased number of cars on the road will more than offset the reduction in
overall emissions. And where is legislation to increase public transit to curb auto use? The realization to the above is that owning and driving a car
is a major source of revenue for local, state and federal governments. The more people driving; the more of our money they can waste.
It's not likely that those who can afford to buy "pocket rocket" cars like Subaru's WRX STi or the Mitsubishi Lancer Evolution will be interested
in "less emissions". Even a low emission vehicle can spew a hefty amount of emissions into the air when you frequently drive fast or take off from a
red lights with the pedal to the floor.
Originally posted by shbaz
"It's not just the car companies that would complain here.... The last thing they're going to let by is a bill that pushes hybrids."
The auto industry isn't worried about hybrid or alternatives such as hydrogen. Check the website for the Alliance of Automobile Manufacturers.
They're pushing hybrid and hydrogen technology. The simple economic fact is that the auto makers will only produce products that their customers will
want to buy and can afford to buy. Hybrids aren't cheap to build and hydrogen isn't ready for prime time yet.
California's other plan, "Hydrogen Highway", is already in the process of planning a hydrogen fuelling infrastructure and support of hydrogen
powered vehicles. While this effort is part of battling pollution part of this flies in the face of those concerned about "greenhouse gases". Most
of the hydrogen that will be available for use as a fuel will come from processed hydrocarbon fuels including natural gas. The CalEPA website admits
this, but leaves out mentioning anything about the main waste product from this process... CO2. The increased use of natural gas for this purpose will
undoubtedly increase natural gas prices which will mean bad news for many regions already paying high prices for natural gas used in heating and
cooking. For the driver of a hydrogen powered vehicle, they should expect to pay four times what they would for gasoline or diesel to get them the
same distance. This isn't only due to a higher cost for the hydrogen, but also for the fact that hydrogen won't get you as far, as fast then fossil
fuels currently do.
There are no simple or cheap solutions or alternatives for the current pollution/energy problems.