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The frequency of these events has remained impressively constant for more than a century, and contrasts strongly with the apparent increase of smaller eruptions with time.
Finally, we plot below the record since reasonably comprehensive reporting of global volcanism began in the 1960s. Note that the number of confirmed erupting volcanoes has leveled off between 50 and 70 per year through the past four decades, and a linear regression line through the data indicates that volcanism has been virtually constant.
This thread is entirely based on SHORT TERM data. And this is what I want to discuss here.
In the year 2006, volcanic events were reported as accurately as in 2011. In 2006, the internet already existed, and the world population was already over 6 billion people.
So, the increase in volcanic events in 2011 and 2012, compared to 2006, 2007, 2008, 2009 and 2010 is a REAL PHENOMENON.
Why in 2011, exactly the year before 2012 (THE YEAR OF THE MAYAN "PROPHECY") there was such a sharp increase in volcanic events, compared to the previous five years?
2006, 2007, 2008, 2009 and 2010 = FIVE years.
Why 2011 could not be a "calm" year just like the five previous years?
And why 2012 could not be calmer than 2011?
But let's wait and see. We have a long year ahead. Sooner or later, or dear skeptics will have to face some very hard facts.
Well, the problem is: it seems that even if we have a huge event in 2012, with very serious global consequences, like a "volcanic winter", for example, the skeptics will STILL say that it has "nothing to do with the Mayan calendar" and with all the predictions made, and was "just a coincidence".
That's how the mind of our "skeptics" work: if nothing happens, they are right, if something very rare and very huge happens, that was just a "coincidence".