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Originally posted by JohnVidale
reply to post by MamaJ
Nothing in the ongoing earthquakes is more than mild indication of normal fluctuations in activity. In terms of level of alert serious enough to take action, the only recent changes are to the long term rates.
We had a workshop in Seattle last week, and POSSIBLE changes to the hazard map include bumping up the chance of the Cascadia-wide M9 by 20-40% by taking account of the fact that it hasn't happened since 1700AD (from 1 in 500 per year due to the observation of 20 quakes in the last 10,000 years to 1 in 300 per year). Also possible are bumping up the chance of an M8-8.5 in southern Cascadia (well south of Portland) due to Chris Goldfinger finding evidence of such quakes in the offshore turbidites (sands), dropping the danger more than 100km from the coast due to the observation that the waves in the Japan earthquake last year attenuated more quickly than expected with distance.
No cosmic changes to risk, in the scientists view.
Originally posted by JohnVidale
We think the action in earthquakes is too deep to respond to any annual cycling in the near-surface properties. Maybe the loads from a big snowpack or annual variation in ocean currents could trigger tiny changes in the timing of earthquakes, but even that is a stretch.
Earthquakes can trigger nearby volcanoes, and volcanic activity can trigger earthquakes, but the frequency of such triggering is small. So an M9 in Cascadia could push a Cascadian volcano into action, but probably it won't. Similarly, it could trigger big earthquakes in the crust, such as on the Seattle fault or the South Whidbey Island fault, but that is even less likely.
Before the magma comes to the surface.. there is always a quiet time as the buildup occurs.. watch for the quiet.. because if you're only watching for the background harmonics.. you won't know about the eruption until IT ERUPTS
Originally posted by jimnuggits
Yep, No doubt about it.
Being alive is definitely going to kill us.
Originally posted by antmax21
reply to post by samlf3rd
Not sure why you mentioned FOX News?...
FOX news has their own opinions just like we do here. Many have predicted a Mega Quake is coming...but when is the answer?...
That is a lot of locations CA, NM, WA, MEX...According to that 188 Day Theory ...the circle is moving upwards towards Western USA. Which would make sense with these locations .....but we cannot predict Quakes. As for Volcanoes erupting, that is something we have a better idea on predicting. Prior to Mt. St. Helen's the activity of gases being spewed became more frequent and larger gave a better idea of when it may be erupting. Yet you cannot pin point an exact time...
A natural source of spring water, in the middle of a barren, desolate place. Now, this is normally very still water. Would you believe what is causing this, is an earthquake 2000 MILES AWAY?! (In Oaxaca, Mexico 7.3) This is what happens to the water underground, that far away.
At least 300,000 people reside in Ensenada. Among other things discussed was that they leave the city as soon as possible. It has been revealed to us that in fact many of the foreign scientists working at the CICESE and other well-connected individuals in the Baja California elite have left Ensenada