Originally posted by Ericthenewbie
Care to clarify your prediction with what you base this on?
Originally posted by Horza
Originally posted by SkipperJohn
reply to post by bknapple32
6.7 haha that is close enough to a 7.1. just admit it. the OP was right on.
I feel the need to post on this again to save some of our members from living in ignorance ....which is much worse than living in sin ... and much less fun ...
There is a BIG difference between a 6.7 and 7.0 ... around 300% difference
Also, there are 15 7.0 - 7.9 per year .... the odds of predicting a 7.0 to 7.9 within any 40 hour period is about 12-1 ... thats $12 for every one you bet
There are 134 6.0 - 6.9 per year, or one every 65 hours ... The odds of predicting a 6.0 to 6.9 in any 40 hour period is just over 3-2 ... thats $1.63 for every dollar you bet.
So not really that amazing ...
Originally posted by WatcherMan
reply to post by sugarcookie1
You all do realize she's HUMAN right?? HUMANS don't predict crap. You all are asking for locations and how does she know, as if she actually is onto something.....GET REAL.
In 1900, an American civil engineer called John Elfreth Watkins made a number of predictions about what the world would be like in 2000.
Digital color photography
Watkins did not, of course, use the word "digital"... but he accurately predicted how people would come to use new photographic technology.
"Photographs will be telegraphed from any distance. If there be a battle in China a hundred years hence, snapshots of its most striking events will be published in the newspapers an hour later.... photographs will reproduce all of nature's colors."
The rising height of Americans
"Americans will be taller by from one to two inches."
Watkins had unerring accuracy here, says Mr Nilsson - the average American man in 1900 was about 66-67ins (1.68-1.70m) tall and by 2000, the average was 69ins (1.75m).
"Wireless telephone and telegraph circuits will span the world. A husband in the middle of the Atlantic will be able to converse with his wife sitting in her boudoir in Chicago. We will be able to telephone to China quite as readily as we now talk from New York to Brooklyn."
International phone calls were unheard of in Watkins' day. It was another 15 years before the first call was made, by Alexander Bell, even from one coast of the US to the other. The idea of wireless telephony was truly revolutionary.
"Man will see around the world. Persons and things of all kinds will be brought within focus of cameras connected electrically with screens at opposite ends of circuits, thousands of miles at a span."
Watkins foresaw cameras and screens linked by electric circuits, a vision practically realized in the 20th Century by live international television and latterly by webcams.
The Acela Express
"Trains will run two miles a minute normally. Express trains one hundred and fifty miles per hour."
Exactly 100 years after writing those words, to the very month, Amtrak's flagship high-speed rail line, the Acela Express, opened between Boston and Washington, DC. It reaches top speeds of 150mph, although the average speed is considerably less than that. High-speed rail in other parts of the world, even in 2000, was considerably faster.
Originally posted by SonOfTheLawOfOne
Another failed "prophecy"....
Although, just based on the numbers, you have a 5% chance of a 7+ mag quake on any given day of the year, so if you are right, I would lean more towards the numbers than your prediction.
Magnitude, Type, Date(y/m/d) Time(hh:mm:ss), Latitude, Longitude, Depth, Location, Source, Catalogue
7.0 Mw, 2012/1/1 5:27:56, 31.416, 138.155, 365, South of Honshu, Japan, emsc
7.2 Mw, 2012/1/10 18:36:59, 2.452, 93.209, 20.5, W of Sumatra, Indonesia, usgs
7.1 Mw. 2012/2/2 13:34:40, -17.766, 167.134, 23.1, Vanuatu, usgs
7.0 Ms 2012/02/26 06:17:17.4, 51.73, 95.98, 10, South Western Siberia, Russia, ras/cenc
7.4 Mw 2012/03/20 18:02:49, 16.662, -98.188, 20, Oaxaca, Mexico, usgs
Sources, Catalogues Index
[emsc] European Mediterranean Seismological Centre data base
[ras] Russian Academy of Sciences
[usgs] USGS/NEIC (PDE-Q) Most Recent Events, United States Geological Survey
[geoau] Geoscience Australia
[cenc] China earthquake Networks Center
[gfz] GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences (Geofon)
7.6 Ms, 2011/10/21 17:57:16, -29.2, -175.5, 16, Kermadec Trench, geonet
7.3 Mw, 2011/10/23 10:41:21, 38.7578, 43.3602, Van, eastern Turkey, koeri
7.1 Mw 2011/12/14 05:04:57, -7.518, 146.767, Kudjeru, Eastern Highlands, PNG, usgs, neic