posted on Mar, 23 2012 @ 12:08 PM
My equation could probably do with a little help, but I'm so tired of people throwing statistical odds out there without providing any that I worked
them up best I could...
On average there is 1 earthquake 8.0+ per year and 15 earthquakes 7.0+ per year.
365/16 = 1 earthquake 7.0 or greater, on average every 22.8 days.
X/100 = 1/Square Root of 22.8 * 1/188.5
X = approx. 10.45%
That is to say that there is 10.5% chance that any 7.0+ earthquake will coincide the 188.5 day pattern.
However, the chance of a 7.0 earthquake coinciding with the pattern three consecutive times is about 1/10th of 1%, .11%; four times .0119%; and five
This leaves to question whether the earthquake in Mexico on March 20, 2012 correlates to the 188.5 day pattern closely enough. Time difference from
the Fiji earthquake was 186 days, 22 hours and 31 minutes. The only other possibility that might correlate is a 6.6 in New Guinea at 22:15 UTC on
March 21, 2012.
Both, imo, are toss-ups depending upon how strict they must conform to a specific pattern; but you know... that beats the hell out of government work.
When was the last time the Congressional Budget Office was "that close" with its estimates on anything?
What I would really like to know is what is the 188.5 day pattern being tied to - outside of the earthquakes? I know previously that it was tied with
Elenin which started breaking up in August of 2011 and effectively ceased to exist by October of 2011. That the pattern "seems" to persist is makes
it of ongoing interest. I've seen the association being made to "Another Inbound Heavy Mass Object"; BUT I fail to see how... If the correlations
to Elenin were spot on, how they could be used for a different object - even if behind it, coming from the same direction.
I welcome and would greatly appreciate any information regarding these points.