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Originally posted by Shdak
I tried to get the 188 cycle with some Math & Spread sheet...for 7.0(+) EQ's. I came up with 186 day cycle, hum you may be on to something...just don't know what it is yet.
Looking at the last 5 years of data; I came up with a 7.0 or greater happening somewhere on earth with a Max of 122 days from last event. The Standard Deviation is about 24 days and 40 days at the 95% level. 186 day total spread.... so the next 7.0 or greater should happen between 3/20/2012 and 7/4/2012... My prediction is between 3/20/2012 & 4/29/2012 which is at the 95% level. only time will tell... should have added the locations to make it more fun, but that would take too much time.
The chart below hits about 82.7 % correctly... some missed only by a few days.
Originally posted by the4thhorseman
As you can see we have 7.0+ happening monthly around the globe so I am not sure why or how this is a 188 cycle....
Originally posted by Shdak
Originally posted by the4thhorseman
As you can see we have 7.0+ happening monthly around the globe so I am not sure why or how this is a 188 cycle....
I didn't find a cycle either, only a spreed of 186 days...which is telling me that there will alway be a 7.0 or greater within that time frame of 186 days with most of them happening between the 24 to 40 days which is indicated by the Standard deviation,
Standard deviation is a widely used measure of variability or diversity used in statistics and probability theory
Patterns of Eclipses Two different cycles of the Moon determine the pattern of eclipses over time. One cycle -- the familiar monthly lunar phases -- is easy to understand: a solar eclipse may occur only at a new Moon, as the Moon passes between the Earth and the Sun, casting its shadow toward the Earth. The other cycle involves the gradual shift in orientation of the Moon's orbit. Only when these two cycles are favorably combined (about every six months) can a solar eclipse occur.
The moon’s orbit is constantly changing, much more so than the earth’s. Although the moon makes a close approach (perigee) to earth once a month, its closet approach occurs every 6 months, and this is normally near the time of the solstices and equinoxes in December, March, June and September. These cycles also change from year to year, thus setting up 6-month cycles, approximate 4-year cycles, 9 year and 18.5-year cycles, among others.
Originally posted by Phage
reply to post by AGWskeptic
Sure.
If Earth was in a close orbit around Saturn.