posted on Mar, 14 2012 @ 07:49 AM
This post contains the following premises and as such is not intended to be a discussion of those, rather a theoretical exercise (as the premises
cannot be proven) concerning the conclusions.
The first premise is that there exist sentient extra-terrestrial races.
Secondly that they are of such advanced technological status that they are able to physically travel between galaxies.
The third premise, and perhaps biggest stretch, is that their thought processes are not too far displaced from what we could call human logic.
Now the probe part and apologies if anyone was thinking this would be related to Uranus, I mean machine type probes with sensors able to communicate
information. Humankind has used these probes whenever manned missions are either impossible or too dangerous. We have sent them into the sky and under
the sea, crashed them into asteroids and left them crawling around other planets and, with Voyager, sent them off to interstellar space.
It seems the logical thing to do, as does then following up anywhere interesting with a physical presence as and when technology allows. We currently
sit staring across interstellar space as early humans must have stood at the ocean’s edge, unable to comprehend a method of crossing. We do though
have the advantage over our earlier cousins in that we have a combined history of obtaining goals that seemed unachievable when first imagined. Even
if necessity doesn’t dictate I believe this knowledge alone will be enough that one day humankind will achieve interstellar space fairing status. A
big boost to the effort would be to learn that it is possible from example however I digress, back to the probes.
Is it then too much of an assumption that ET would use probes at some point, no matter how they first became aware of our presence on Earth, and not
just for initial study but to keep track of changes. After all this period is surely a pivotal point of development of any civilisation.
So is SETI looking in the wrong direction – should they be searching for unknown signals originating from Earth ?
I can find little or no evidence that is the case. Abduction implants is a possibility but would surely be very limited in terms of information
transfer (or maybe not ?). There are various contactee reports of probe like devices and metallic boxes but none that refer to devices being left on a
permanent basis. There are UFO sightings that report craft splitting up and are associated with "orbs" but again nothing indicating long term
In conclusion then there are no probes because –
1) We are not interesting enough (which bodes well as it means sentient life must be quite common)
2) Leaving something behind is against the rules (which bodes well as it implies a formal structure to contact that is adhered to)
Of course it is possible that such devices are simply very well hidden, or that close observance can be achieved from afar, but ultimately humankind
follows up with a physical presence even in the most hostile environments and to gain a fuller understanding embeds itself within that environment /
culture / animal species. This leads to the third possible conclusion –
3) ET lives amongst us and observes directly
I’m not sure which is more likely, or that, even given the premises, these conclusions are anywhere near the mark but I would be interested in your
thoughts, critical logic and alternatives.