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"1 in 8 Chance of Catastrophic Solar MegaStorm by 2020"

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posted on Mar, 6 2012 @ 11:53 PM
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interesting article and researchers' consensus..

www.wired.com...



- most gigantic solar event in recorded history (so far) is the Carrington event of 150 yrs ago

- 12% chance of Earth experiencing a rival to 1859 event within roughly the next decade or by 2020

- damage would be 'catastrophic' and in the trillions of dollars collaterally



It’s like being able to see a cyclone coming but not knowing the wind speed until it hits your boat 50 miles off the coast.
- Robert Rutledge of NOAA/National Weather Service Space Weather Prediction Center



edit on 6-3-2012 by BiggerPicture because: (no reason given)




posted on Mar, 7 2012 @ 12:00 AM
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So there's an 87.5% chance that nothing happens?

I like those odds.
edit on 7-3-2012 by DaTroof because: (no reason given)



posted on Mar, 7 2012 @ 12:01 AM
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Im still driving.

We had an X5.4 about an hour ago. Can someone post up? SDO has a photo.

thx



posted on Mar, 7 2012 @ 12:06 AM
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For some reason whenever I try to put pics it shows only an External Image icon,

so i usually embed YTs compulsively (sorry)...




posted on Mar, 7 2012 @ 12:08 AM
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reply to post by BiggerPicture
 


Don't you just love mathematical odds that get thrown around of the chance of "such and such" armageddon type calamity happening to the earth !

In this one article alone we have


1 in 8 Chance ...

The Earth has a roughly 12 percent chance ...

... might have a greater than 10 percent chance ...

of some type of astronomically based catastrophe trashing the earth within the next 8 - 10 years.

Talk about plucking figures out of the air all for the sake of scaremongering.

Perhaps someone would care to show the mathematical models and/or statistical equations used to generate such alarming values ... and whilst you're at it, also supply ALL the hard-valued and statistically accurate parameters that were fed into the equations ... not just guesswork or very rough approximations.



posted on Mar, 7 2012 @ 12:16 AM
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reply to post by BiggerPicture
 


Thanks much.

This phone doesnt allow more than simple txt.



posted on Mar, 7 2012 @ 12:20 AM
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www.spaceweather.com...

^ They have some awesome new pic of the sunspot(s) on front page at the moment

spaceweatherphone.com...



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