posted on Aug, 26 2012 @ 07:46 AM
reply to post by amarenell
The experts have been adjusting the storms track every single day, and every single day they are moving it to the West. Now even though the eye may
make landfall in Destin, the storm will be large enough to reach into Mobile. With any Hurricane, it is not always WHERE it makes landfall as the
dangers of the storm extend well away from the storm's center. When people discuss where a storm makes landfall, that is where the eye makes
landfall, but as well all know the storm itself is happening well away from the eye.
Here is an example of the track adjustments being made.... this first pic is from several days ago. I think I posted it in this thread already, but
look at the storm track. It shows Isaac making landfall right at the southern tip of Florida.
Now look at the latest track and see the difference.
Now I may be a bit off, but the current track sure looks like a direct hit just East of Mobile.
Now the next thing to keep in mind, the waters in the Gulf are warm. We could easily see some strengthening once this storm enters the Gulf. As an
example of how storms can change quickly, look at Katrina. Once Katrina passed land in Florida, it was downgraded to tropical storm status. It
regained strength one hour after entering the Gulf of Mexico. The storm then went from a Cat 3 hurricane to a Cat 5 after reaching the warm waters of
Now going back to the latest track, and as I said the experts keep pushing it a little more west every day, this is the latest word from Weather
Underground (whom I trust with my life in their hurricane predictions)
confidence in the long-range track forecast is quite low...and it is too early to determine exactly where and when Isaac will make landfall along
the Gulf Coast. Further adjustments to the track may be necessary later today. Read more at
The next 48 hours are going to be really important in seeing where this storm will go. Here are some of the computer models to give you an idea of
just how far west this storm could drift before making landfall.