North Atlantic Hurricane Watch 2012

2012 Atlantic Hurricane Season on Wikipedia

Outlook:

Names:

Hurricanes, Tropical Storms, Tropical Depressions, or Tropical Waves can be reported in this thread. Significant or particularly destructive storms can of course also be reported as individual threads.

Here are a few helpful links I've used in the past:

Tropical Weather & Hurricanes page @ Weather Underground
Hurricane Central @The Weather Channel
National Hurricane Center Satellite page
Hurricane supply kit
FEMAs hurricane links (yeah, I know we bash them a lot, but there is good info here)

Link to 2011 Thread

2011 Hurricane Wiki

I would also suggest one read through The Redneck's thread: 14 hours in Hell, 4 days to Home on what can happen in severe weather and how it can be dealt with.

If you've got a link, please share it. The more prepared we are, the better able we will be to help others.

If it isn't mentioned in the above linked references, make sure you have a way to charge your cell phone/lap top batteries. If you don't have a generator, buy yourself a couple of power inverters and you can use your vehicle as a generator for a bit if need be.

I've been through Alicia, Ike and every other storm in the Texas Gulf coast for the past 43 years so I know what to expect. My avatar is the memorial statue to the 1900 Galveston Hurricane, so this is nothing new.

Our advanced technology and ability to communicate with one another give us a tremendous advantage over our ancestors; let us use that to our benefit.

Been doing some reading on and off about a variety of subjects at an equally wide range of sites. I came across this study published in 2010:

African Dust Influence on Atlantic Hurricane Activity and the Peculiar Behaviour of Category 5 Hurricanes

From the abstract:

We identify the formation of Category 5 hurricanes occurring mainly around the decadal minimum variation of African dust and in deep water areas of the Atlantic Ocean, where hurricane eyes have the lowest pressure. According to our results, future tropical cyclones will not evolve to Category 5 until the next decadal minimum that is, by the year 2015 +/- 2.

And looking at the statistics for 2011, we can see that there was not a Cat 5 storm in the North Atlantic, and only 2 Cat 4 storms.

Timeline of the 2011 Atlantic hurricane season

Will be interesting to look back at the end of this season and see if it holds true.

Hey,JC!
I have a new toy for you to play with.

oiswww.eumetsat.org...

All kinds of fun satellite features on there.
By the looks of it,seems to be getting a head start off of the Verdes.

You be safe down there in hurricane country,it has been rough here in the midwest with the tornadoes,so early in the season.

reply to post by kdog1982




Way to go Kdog!

That's an excellent link!

Thank you for sharing that!

I just wanted to post a quick update to this thread.

For my birthday last month, I got a professional weather station from Oregon Scientific so I will be able to post real time updates during hurricane conditiions in the Upper Texas Coast, specifically in the Galveston Bay area.

Hopefully those situations are mild and nothing severe comes our way, but this is hurricane country and I've lived through many prior so I fully expect to see our share of tropical cyclones.

And we have our first low pressure area of interest in the Northern Atlantic:



Invest 93



Atlantic Overview at the National Hurricane Center

Probably won't develop too much, but those of you on the east coast should remain aware of this system.

reply to post by jadedANDcynical


It wouldn't hurt to include an update, this has developed into Tropical Storm Alberto.

5:00 PM EDT Sat May 19
Location: 32.2°N 77.7°W
Max sustained: 45 mph
Moving: SW at 3 mph
Min pressure: 1007 mb

(Source: National Hurricane Center)

It's worth monitoring, but not worth inciting panic. Although this does serve as a reminder, even tropical systems can form with little warning. Landfall is not the time to be gathering emergency supplies!

Oh,so we have us an early starter this year.
Just a little one,nothing much other than rain.

reply to post by Mapkar


Been out and about all day with the family and haven't had very good signal for iPhone so I've been unable to update. I figured the fine folks of ATS would be on the ball, and it looks like I was correct.

Great job with the updates folks and I will look for more when I get home this evening.

reply to post by jadedANDcynical


You bet!

I believe I'll actually try to keep up with this thread, since I'm in the South Carolina Low Country I'm in the zone for potentially landfalling storms, so I have an interest in these things. I'll also try to toss in my own observations and such on the situation out here.

reply to post by jadedANDcynical


sorry didnt see this thread before i posted on the other one yesterday

Subtropical Storm Beryl

...Subtropical storm forms in the southewestern Atlantic...
...Tropical Storm Warning issued for a portion of the southeastern
U.S. Coast...


summary of 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...information
-----------------------------------------------
location...32.5n 74.8w
about 305 mi...490 km E of Charleston South Carolina
maximum sustained winds...45 mph...75 km/h
present movement...N or 10 degrees at 9 mph...15 km/h
minimum central pressure...1001 mb...29.56 inches

It's already getting busy...

reply to post by jadedANDcynical


Hi Jaded...just stumbled upon your thread...do you have info for the northeast this weekend? i heard it might get nasty.
thanks for the info...great work!!!

reply to post by timetothink


I've really become a fan of WeatherUnderground. They have a local weather option and I have found them to be pretty darned accurate.

I find that Dr. Jeff Masters Blog has some highly knowledgeable people posting on a regular basis (click on the comments), much like here at ATS but geared specifically toward weather.

Glad you like the thread!

reply to post by jadedANDcynical


Thank you so much!!

Yet another thread I will be hooked on for the summer!!

TS Chris is headed out to the North Atlantic, but Invest 96 is in the GOM and possibly headed to the Florida panhandle:



Page at Weatherunderground

Invest 96at
Wind: 30 MPH — Location: 22.5 88.3W — Movement: NE
This area of disturbed weather has the potential for tropical development.

reply to post by jadedANDcynical


June 21, 2012 — Chris has been downgraded to a tropical storm, just hours after strengthening into a hurricane on Thursday morning.

"just hours after strengthening into a hurricane",, lol,, ok,, when i read your post i thought i was going nuts,,,last i read,it WAS A hurricane,,,lol,, now completely gone ,,poof,, lol,,

So had too get confirmation.
not nuts.

TD 5 is on its way.

www.nhc.noaa.gov...

reply to post by lasertaglover


Its TS Ernesto now. Another one behind it coming off the African coast.

www.nhc.noaa.gov...

So thus far this Summer I have found it a bit odd at how quiet the Atlantic has been, meanwhile we have seen storm after storm come off the coast of Mexico. At least for me, I found this pattern to be odd. So after checking the Hurricane Center site to see whats new, imagine my shock as I see this....



SO we now officially have 2 storms in the Atlantic, and one possibly developing near the Florida coast which is currently at a 20% chance of forming into a named storm.

I hope everyone enjoyed the quiet time, cause it sure looks like we will be a bit busy over the next week or so.