Has NASA confirmed the collision with Asteroid 2012 DA14 at February 15, 2013?

reply to post by thepolish1

There is no chance of collision with ISS or any other low earth orbit satellite. There was previously a slim chance of collision with a couple of geostationary and geosynchronous satellites, however that was months ago before we had any additional astrometric data immediately ahead of the approach.

If I reran this analysis now it would probably exclude these possibilities altogether.

Originally posted by ngchunter
reply to post by thepolish1

 

There is no chance of collision with ISS or any other low earth orbit satellite. There was previously a slim chance of collision with a couple of geostationary and geosynchronous satellites, however that was months ago before we had any additional astrometric data immediately ahead of the approach.

If I reran this analysis now it would probably exclude these possibilities altogether.

edit on 30-1-2013 by ngchunter because: (no reason given)

Thank you for your input. Now that this "crisis" has been averted, ISON will be the next big thing. Although, it has already been stated that it will be well away from the earth to do anything but will make for a nice show, during the day and night. If it cooperates that is.

From Nasa's website


Impact Probability: 1.3e-10

0.000000013% chance of Earth impact

or

1 in 7,692,308,000 chance

or

99.99999999% chance the asteroid will miss the Earth

neo.jpl.nasa.gov...

reply to post by ngchunter


Hey thanks for the clarification!

And your work.

X

Got another question, this is why I love this site. I was watching something on youtube about remote viewing, and Supposedly, in late Feb.- Apr. of this year there is supposed to be asteroid/ meteor strikes. Do I believe it, I don't know. Any thing can be a possibility for me. Could DA14 have companions with it, or trailing behind it? That the astronmers can't see? It was a Clif High video on there.....before anyone says anything, I am copy and paste challenged.

Quick! EVERYBODY PANIC!!!

Originally posted by Gu1tarJohn
Quick! EVERYBODY PANIC!!!

It's not a panic question!!! But thats funny. I look at it this way, if it happens, you can't stop it, I'd personally want to get hit by one if it were to do alot of damage, and mess up socity. But alas, there is this thing called luck, and it has not been kind to me, I would probably be close enough to see the damage, but live through it. Par for the course I guess.
EDIT: love the avatar by the way!!!

Sometimes there are little rocks or dust particles traveling with meteorites. I don't got a clue why that is but I have read that many times. I wonder if these particles will give us a nice show?

Originally posted by Gu1tarJohn
Quick! EVERYBODY PANIC!!!

Fox News says it's 50 meters wide so it's smaller than a football field.
Too small
DA14 would grab more headlines if it was 50 MILES wide.

Originally posted by severdsoul
From Nasa's website


Impact Probability: 1.3e-10

0.000000013% chance of Earth impact

or

1 in 7,692,308,000 chance

or

99.99999999% chance the asteroid will miss the Earth

neo.jpl.nasa.gov...

I think you just ended the " distraction party " with the truth.
I guess we can concentrate on the U.S. economy contracting .1% !
Recession bound?

Originally posted by severdsoul
From Nasa's website


Impact Probability: 1.3e-10

0.000000013% chance of Earth impact

or

1 in 7,692,308,000 chance

or

99.99999999% chance the asteroid will miss the Earth

neo.jpl.nasa.gov...

Deceptive post. That is the cumulative impact risk for all future dates. There is no possibility of impact on Feb 15th. The first possibility isn't for almost a hundred years.

Not saying this is a likelihood, but this thing could feasibly smack into a few satellites. In so doing it would create a shooting gallery of space debris orbiting the Earth putting every other satellite at risk. With each satellite hit the likelihood of other satellites being taken out goes up due to the increase in debris. Moreover that stuff would probably fall back to earth eventually and, correct me if I'm wrong, I think there may be a few nuclear batteries floating around in a few of those satellites.

So in the event of a nightmare 'the sky is falling' scenario we could be dealing not only with major communications and economic disruptions, but radioactive material falling from the sky over an extended period of time.

Anywho, just a thought

reply to post by Phage


Just saw a mention on CNN....now they claim a distance of 17k......does this change anything from your previous 21k ? I also wonder if there are any other variables? They say it's as large as half a football field.
Just wanting to hear some educated opinions or facts...thank you!

reply to post by ujustneverknow

No change. The numbers I was using were geocentric, the Earth's center. That's how the calculations are done.
ssd.jpl.nasa.gov...

I have also heard the numbers of 17 thousand miles above the Earth's Surface.
What we know are a few things. This is going to give us GREAT video and Pictures,
and I Hope to be able to see this streaming Live.

It is quite a joy that we are in this technological age, where everyone can enjoy
once in a lifetime phenomena like this.

For the person that said that this asteroid is not big enough,
You can not compute merely size, it is also the speed and the
composition of the asteroid. If it was a dense enough metal,
travelling at a high enough speed, it would be releasing megatons
of energy. I am not saying that this will happen, just saying that you
can not downgrade the danger of this, because of the size.

Does an Asteroid of this type have enough mass, so that if it passes 17k
miles away, that its trajectory might be changed slightly from the earh's gravity?

I forget one "story" or "fable", but it had us receiving powers
after being bombarded by ions from the tale of an asteroid or comet.
Perhaps this was an old sci-fy movie that I saw. Can't remember

Is there danger of this thing colliding with our space debris that we have left up there?

reply to post by ThreeDeuce


"is there danger of this thing hitting space debri we have left up there?"

Ive been posting the same question in all these threads about DA14... the silence I get in response is almost deafening
and I agree with the other poster above...the possibility of chaos in our orbital system seem totally imminent as this thing perturbs all our trash...redistributes it

Like playing marlbes I'd think

reply to post by Xcouncil=wisdom

Yes. There is the possibility (remote) of the asteroid hitting something in Earth orbit.
So what?

reply to post by Phage


Thanks for the response Phage...
"So What"

uh...well....uh
now can I freak out?!

Originally posted by Phage
reply to post by Xcouncil=wisdom

 

Yes. There is the possibility (remote) of the asteroid hitting something in Earth orbit.
So what?

What do you mean So What???
NASA is publically saying that there is almost ZERO chance of it to hit
Any of our satellites. Ummmm..... our Space Debris is one of our satellites.
It also worries me that they do not even account for this.

I would rather them be honest about this, and say that it may hit something!
Because there are LOTS of things to hit.

Sure, I understand how people can bring up maps of our satellites,
and "calculate" that it won't hit any of them. But, with an item travelling that fast,
with a calculation error so small, surely there is a possibility of it to hit SOMETHING
that is in orbit around us. To me, it seems more of the "Veil" for them to say,
that there is very very little chance.

Be honest, and tell us that this sort of thing has NEVER happened before,
and that we don't honestly know what to expect.

Pay No Attention to the Man Behind the Curtain makes people say....
Well, I was just watching the movie... but what IS going on with the man behind the curtain?

Regardless what happens........ I am ANXIOUSLY waiting for Live streaming and
High Speed HD Photography of this Asteroid.


CONSPIRACY THEORY ZONE: what if this wasn't an asteroid? NIBIRU? LOL i
It "IS" labeled 2012 after all. /chuckle

Originally posted by Phage
reply to post by Xcouncil=wisdom

 

Yes. There is the possibility (remote) of the asteroid hitting something in Earth orbit.
So what?

My response to your Post should have been......

Thank You. I appreciate your honesty in admitting this.
I do not know why others do not make logical assumptions as you have.
Star and Flag.